Marinhense vs Sertanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Marinhense - Sertanense
Result
2:0
19/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Mucuana Lobo E. J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Vieira J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Marinhense
58.7%
Draw
25.8%
Sertanense
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 24.3% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 23.9% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Marinhense - Sertanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.47)
    3.51
    (3.74)
    5.87
    (6.57)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Marinhense is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marinhense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Sertanense were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Sertanense - Marinhense 2:3
    21.01.2024 Marinhense - Sertanense 1:0
    03.09.2023 Sertanense - Marinhense 1:1
    12.02.2023 Sertanense - Marinhense 0:2
    30.10.2022 Marinhense - Sertanense 0:0
    Latest results of Marinhense
    05.01.2025 Marinhense - Pombal 2:0
    15.12.2024 Peniche - Marinhense 2:0
    30.11.2024 Alcains - Marinhense 2:2
    Latest results of Sertanense
    12.01.2025 Sertanense - Peniche 1:1
    15.12.2024 Alcains - Sertanense 2:0
    08.12.2024 Sertanense - Os Marialvas 1:1
    01.12.2024 Mortágua - Sertanense 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1