Arouca vs Marítimo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Arouca - Marítimo
Result
1:0
08/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 27
  • Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
42.1%
Draw
29.9%
Marítimo
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 29.3% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 29% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Arouca - Marítimo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.03)
    3.17
    (3.15)
    3.36
    (3.68)
    6%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Marítimo?
  • Users Predictions: Arouca will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.63%98.37%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
    • Arouca has the most likely position - 5 (41.08%), project points - 51, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (53.09%), project points - 28, currently - 19, a good chance of relegated (53%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 45, small importance 21, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 0.
    • Arouca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Marítimo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Dabbagh O. (Injury) Soro I. (Injury) Vitinho (Injury)
    • There will not play in Marítimo: Liza P. (Coach's decision) Mendes D. (Injury) Mosquera M. (Yellow Cards) Trmal M. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Marítimo were as follows:
    23.10.2022 Marítimo - Arouca 1:1
    Latest results of Arouca
    03.04.2023 Famalicão - Arouca 0:1
    03.03.2023 Boavista - Arouca 0:0
    25.02.2023 Arouca - Casa Pia 2:0
    Latest results of Marítimo
    02.04.2023 Marítimo - Boavista 4:2
    19.03.2023 Casa Pia - Marítimo 2:0
    12.03.2023 Marítimo - Benfica 0:3
    05.03.2023 Gil Vicente - Marítimo 2:0
    25.02.2023 Marítimo - Santa Clara 3:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2