Result
1:0
08/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 27
- Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Arouca
42.1% | Draw
29.9% | Marítimo
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Arouca - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.03) |
3.17 ↑
(3.15) |
3.36 ↓
(3.68) |
6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
Arouca will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Arouca has the most likely position - 5 (41.08%), project points - 51, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (53.09%), project points - 28, currently - 19, a good chance of relegated (53%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 45, small importance 21, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 0.
- Arouca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Marítimo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Dabbagh O.
(Injury)
Soro I.
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Marítimo: Liza P.
(Coach's decision)
Mendes D.
(Injury)
Mosquera M.
(Yellow Cards)
Trmal M.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Marítimo?
Arouca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Arouca?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Marítimo were as follows:
23.10.2022
Marítimo
-
Arouca
1:1
Latest results of Marítimo
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24:3 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27:6 | 21 | 28 |
| 3 | Benfica | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23:6 | 17 | 25 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Braga | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Estoril | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Arouca | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:30 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 | Tondela | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | AFS | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8:25 | -17 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
