Casa Pia vs Marítimo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Marítimo
Result
2:0
19/03/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
45.4%
Draw
29.9%
Marítimo
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 26.4% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 22.4% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.
  • Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Casa Pia - Marítimo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.79)
    3.19
    (3.49)
    3.79
    (4.16)
    5.9%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Marítimo?
  • Users Predictions: Casa Pia will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
    • Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.77%), project points - 46, currently - 35, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (41.88%), project points - 27, currently - 16, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 43, small importance 22, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Casa Pia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Marítimo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Marítimo: Mendes D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Rafael Martins (Injury) Tchamba D. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Marítimo were as follows:
    03.10.2022 Marítimo - Casa Pia 1:2
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    13.03.2023 Famalicão - Casa Pia 1:0
    25.02.2023 Arouca - Casa Pia 2:0
    13.02.2023 Boavista - Casa Pia 0:0
    Latest results of Marítimo
    12.03.2023 Marítimo - Benfica 0:3
    05.03.2023 Gil Vicente - Marítimo 2:0
    25.02.2023 Marítimo - Santa Clara 3:1
    18.02.2023 Portimonense - Marítimo 2:1
    12.02.2023 Marítimo - Braga 1:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2