Result
2:0
19/03/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 25
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
45.4% | Draw
29.9% | Marítimo
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Casa Pia - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.79) |
3.19 ↓
(3.49) |
3.79 ↓
(4.16) |
5.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
Casa Pia will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.77%), project points - 46, currently - 35, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (41.88%), project points - 27, currently - 16, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 43, small importance 22, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Marítimo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Rafael Martins
(Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Marítimo?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Casa Pia?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Marítimo were as follows:
03.10.2022
Marítimo
-
Casa Pia
1:2
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Marítimo
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 37:4 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 41 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38:11 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24:13 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 30 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | AFS | 18 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11:44 | -33 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
