Result
3:1
27/05/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 34
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
43.8% | Draw
27.2% | Marítimo
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marítimo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Estoril Praia - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.96) |
3.45 ↑
(3.38) |
3.24 ↓
(4.03) |
6.7%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Marítimo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 40% – 93.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Estoril has the most likely position - 14 (100%), project points - 35, currently - 35, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (100%), project points - 26, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (50%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 42, very small importance 0, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 3.
- Estoril is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Marítimo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Estoril will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Estoril: Vital B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Marítimo: Trmal M.
(Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Marítimo: Beltrame S.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Estoril won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Marítimo?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Estoril Praia?
Marítimo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Marítimo were as follows:
22.01.2023
Marítimo
-
Estoril Praia
1:0
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Marítimo
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Alverca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | AFS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
