Result
2:2
07/05/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 31
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Marítimo
44.8% | Draw
28.9% | Rio Ave
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo's performance.Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Ave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marítimo - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.6) |
3.26 ↑
(3.12) |
3.59 ↑
(2.7) |
5.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 21.5% – 71.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 12).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (71.99%), project points - 26, currently - 22, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Rio Ave has the most likely position - 12 (22.81%), project points - 44, currently - 38, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 45, small importance 21, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Marítimo will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Marítimo: Trmal M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Joca
(Knee Injury)
Pantalon R.
(Red Card)
Ventura B.
(Injury)
- Last 25 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Rio Ave?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Marítimo?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Rio Ave were as follows:
23.12.2022
Rio Ave
-
Marítimo
1:1
01.12.2022
Marítimo
-
Rio Ave
0:1
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | AFS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
