Marítimo vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Marítimo - Rio Ave
Result
2:2
07/05/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Marítimo
44.8%
Draw
28.9%
Rio Ave
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 29.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 28.9% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo's performance.
  • Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Ave might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marítimo - Rio Ave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.6)
    3.26
    (3.12)
    3.59
    (2.7)
    5.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Marítimo - Rio Ave?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 21.5%71.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 12).
    • Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (71.99%), project points - 26, currently - 22, a good chance of relegated (54%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Rio Ave has the most likely position - 12 (22.81%), project points - 44, currently - 38, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 45, small importance 21, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Marítimo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Marítimo: Trmal M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rio Ave: Joca (Knee Injury) Pantalon R. (Red Card) Ventura B. (Injury)
    • Last 25 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Rio Ave were as follows:
    23.12.2022 Rio Ave - Marítimo 1:1
    01.12.2022 Marítimo - Rio Ave 0:1
    Latest results of Marítimo
    22.04.2023 Famalicão - Marítimo 3:2
    08.04.2023 Arouca - Marítimo 1:0
    02.04.2023 Marítimo - Boavista 4:2
    19.03.2023 Casa Pia - Marítimo 2:0
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    22.04.2023 Boavista - Rio Ave 3:2
    16.04.2023 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 1:1
    08.04.2023 Portimonense - Rio Ave 2:2
    02.04.2023 Rio Ave - Benfica 0:1
    17.03.2023 Santa Clara - Rio Ave 0:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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