Result
04/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Marquense 41.7% | Draw 31.1% | Deportivo Guastatoya 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2) |
2.91 ↓ (3.1) |
3.32 ↓ (3.6) |
10.6% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Marquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marquense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Marquense won against Deportivo Guastatoya?
Marquense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Guastatoya won against Marquense?
Deportivo Guastatoya has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya were as follows:
23.11.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Marquense
5:0
17.09.2025
Marquense
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
0:2
29.03.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Marquense
1:0
25.01.2025
Marquense
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
2:0
05.10.2024
Marquense
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
1:1
Latest results of Marquense
Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coban Imperial | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Comunicaciones | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | Municipal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Achuapa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Aurora F.C | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Malacateco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Antigua | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Deportivo Mixco | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Mictlan | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Marquense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )