Marquense vs Deportivo Guastatoya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Marquense
41.7%
Draw
31.1%
Deportivo Guastatoya
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 29.3% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 28.1% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    2.91
    (3.1)
    3.32
    (3.6)
    10.6%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Marquense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marquense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marquense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense 5:0
    17.09.2025 Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya 0:2
    29.03.2025 Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense 1:0
    25.01.2025 Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya 2:0
    05.10.2024 Marquense - Deportivo Guastatoya 1:1
    Latest results of Marquense
    28.02.2026 Municipal - Marquense 1:0
    25.02.2026 Marquense - Aurora 0:0
    22.02.2026 Mictlán - Marquense 2:1
    15.02.2026 Xelajú - Marquense 4:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coban Imperial1062217:8920
    2Comunicaciones1061316:14219
    3Municipal1053215:10518
    4Xelaju1052315:7817
    5Deportivo Achuapa1043310:8215
    6Aurora F.C1034310:13-313
    7Guastatoya1033410:11-112
    8Malacateco1033410:12-212
    9Antigua1024412:16-410
    10Deportivo Mixco1024411:15-410
    11Mictlan102358:14-69
    12Marquense102269:15-68

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )