Municipal vs Marquense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Guatemala Liga Nacional Municipal - Marquense
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
costa-ricaCosta-ricaTelecentro
el-salvadorEl-salvadorTelecentro
guatemalaGuatemalaTelecentro
hondurasHondurasTelecentro
nicaraguaNicaraguaTelecentro
panamaPanamaTelecentro
usaUsaTelecentro

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
115
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
128
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
115
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Morales J. ,
  • 18', Fuentes E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Torres D. , David A. ,
  • 49', Martinez J. , Bantes J. ,
  • 64', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 65', Cano Chavez J. N. , Merida K. ,
  • 72', Lacayo J. , Oliva Calito J. J. ,
  • 75', Estrada C. 🟨,
  • 76', Barrientos R. , Matos Y. ,
  • 76', Munoz R. , Mendez J. ,
  • 83', Amaya W. , Morales A. ,
  • 84', Flores D. , Barrios W. ,
  • 89', Bantes J. 🟨,
  • 89', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Altan P. , Sequen M. ,
  • 90+2', Merida K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mena J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Municipal
74%
Draw
18%
Marquense
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 20.7% 9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 16.9% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Municipal - Marquense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.32)
    5.09
    (4.43)
    11.38
    (9.32)
    9.2%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • Municipal is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Municipal is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Municipal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Municipal - Marquense were as follows:
    08.05.2025 Marquense - Municipal 1:1
    23.04.2025 Municipal - Marquense 0:0
    23.02.2025 Marquense - Municipal 0:0
    02.11.2024 Municipal - Marquense 2:0
    18.08.2024 Marquense - Municipal 0:0
    Latest results of Municipal
    08.05.2025 Marquense - Municipal 1:1
    23.04.2025 Municipal - Marquense 0:0
    Latest results of Marquense
    08.05.2025 Marquense - Municipal 1:1
    04.05.2025 Comunicaciones - Marquense 2:1
    01.05.2025 Marquense - Comunicaciones 2:0
    27.04.2025 Marquense - Malacateco 2:0
    23.04.2025 Municipal - Marquense 0:0
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Mixco33004:139
    2Municipal32105:327
    3Antigua32015:236
    4Deportivo Achuapa31204:225
    5Comunicaciones31114:314
    6Aurora F.C31113:304
    7Xelaju31111:2-14
    8Coban Imperial31021:2-13
    9Mictlan30212:4-22
    10Marquense30211:4-32
    11Malacateco30123:5-21
    12Guastatoya30122:4-21

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)