Naxxar Lions vs Marsaxlokk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Premier League Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk
Result
1:0
13/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 10
  • Referee: Farrugia Cann T. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
28%72%
Goal Attempts
58
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
26
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Yellow Cards
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Fernando Barbosa 🟨,
  • 24', Maicon Souza 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Bolanos E. ,
  • 37', Hugo Santos 🟨,
  • 42', Yuri Messias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Corbalan J. C. 🟨,
  • 63', Scicluna R. 🟨,
  • 67', Corbalan J. C. , Ghio J. ,
  • 67', Adamec M. , Kukhianidze S. ,
  • 73', Debono M. 🟨,
  • 79', Maicon Souza , Yasukaze I. ,
  • 80', Scicluna R. , Bonnici D. ,
  • 87', Hugo Santos , Hernandez A. ,
  • 90', Pena E. , Torres Quinones D. D. ,
  • 90+2', Farias E. , Farrugia J. ,

Chances of winning


Naxxar Lions
22.5%
Draw
23.5%
Marsaxlokk
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 22.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 21.7% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marsaxlokk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.09
    (4.49)
    3.92
    (4.07)
    1.71
    (1.6)
    8.5%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Naxxar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marsaxlokk will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marsaxlokk: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Naxxar won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Marsaxlokk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Marsaxlokk have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Marsaxlokk is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Naxxar won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Naxxar won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions 1:1
    27.10.2024 Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk 0:0
    28.01.2024 Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk 0:0
    15.09.2023 Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions 5:1
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Latest results of Marsaxlokk
    08.03.2025 Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk 1:1
    21.02.2025 Gżira United - Marsaxlokk 0:1
    14.02.2025 Mosta - Marsaxlokk 2:1
    09.02.2025 Floriana - Marsaxlokk 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SliemaBirkirkara0 : 1
    2FlorianaHamrun0 : 1

    Final
    1BirkirkaraHamrun0 : 1

    3rd place
    2SliemaFloriana0 : 4