Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Pahama N. ⚽,
- 31', Gustavo Felipe 🟨,
- 40', Gustavo Felipe 🟨,
- 41', 🟨,
- 44', Farias E. ↓, Joao Moura ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Linden R. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Dodo ⚽,
- 70', Pahama N. ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
- 70', Dodo (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Aguirre L. 🟨,
- 81', El Hasni O. ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
- 81', Arias U. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
- 88', Vitinho ↓, Costa Goncalves G. ↑,
- 88', Simkus D. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 90', Guehi S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
45.8% | Draw
26.3% | Naxxar Lions
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marsaxlokk's form might have worsened.Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marsaxlokk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.62) |
3.47 ↓
(3.7) |
3.28 ↓
(4.45) |
9.5%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Marsaxlokk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Marsaxlokk has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Marsaxlokk is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Naxxar Lions?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Marsaxlokk?
Naxxar Lions has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
24.08.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Marsaxlokk
0:1
13.03.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Marsaxlokk
1:0
15.12.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Naxxar Lions
1:1
27.10.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Marsaxlokk
0:0
28.01.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Marsaxlokk
0:0
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
