Result
2:1
25/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/440) | 81% (331/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/440) | 81% (331/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 55% (38/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (106/140) | 58% (63/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Labeau B. ⚽, Vallier L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ipiele A. ↓, Amraoui A. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Ghrieb R. ⚽, Picard H. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Mendy O. ⚽, Solvet S. (A),
- 57', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
- 57', Siby M. ↓, Orinel O. ↑,
- 64', Solvet S. 🟨,
- 66', Ghrieb R. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
- 66', Labeau B. ↓, Riou M. ↑,
- 73', Hadjem Y. ↓, Montiel R. ↑,
- 73', Robin M. ↓, Kembolo F. ↑,
- 75', Falette S. 🟨,
- 80', Siwe J. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 81', Phiri L. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 81', Vallier L. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
- 88', Guendouz S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
68.1% | Draw
19.4% | Martigues
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Guingamp - Martigues Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.32) |
4.92 ↓
(5.25) |
7.49 ↓
(8.47) |
6.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Martigues?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Martigues (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guingamp will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 50%). Martigues (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Guingamp is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Injury)
Louiserre D.
(Yellow Cards)
Maronnier L.
(Inactive)
Mendes J. A.
(Inactive)
Ndour A.
(Injury)
Ourega D.
(Inactive)
Sidibe K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Martigues: Amraoui A.
(Inactive)
Kembolo F.
(Injury)
Marillat Y.
(Injury)
Zouaoui I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Martigues: Djaha A.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Martigues?
Guingamp has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Martigues won against Guingamp?
Martigues has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Martigues were as follows:
06.12.2024
Martigues
-
Guingamp
0:1
Latest results of Guingamp
Latest results of Martigues
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
