Managua vs Matagalpa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 🟥,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Managua
57.3%
Draw
23.5%
Matagalpa
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 22.4% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 21.7% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Matagalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Managua than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Managua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Managua - Matagalpa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.47)
    3.86
    (4.03)
    4.8
    (5.5)
    9.5%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Managua won 4.
    • In recent matches, Managua has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Matagalpa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Managua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Managua is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Managua won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Managua won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Managua - Matagalpa were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Managua - Matagalpa 3:0
    24.08.2025 Matagalpa - Managua 1:2
    13.04.2025 Matagalpa - Managua 3:1
    16.02.2025 Managua - Matagalpa 1:0
    01.12.2024 Matagalpa - Managua 1:5
    Latest results of Managua
    12.02.2026 Walter Ferretti - Managua 1:0
    07.02.2026 Managua - Real Estelí 0:2
    04.02.2026 Managua - Real Madriz 2:0
    01.02.2026 Rancho Santana - Managua 1:1
    25.01.2026 Managua - Sport Sébaco 1:0
    Latest results of Matagalpa
    07.02.2026 Diriangén - Matagalpa 1:1
    04.02.2026 Matagalpa - UNAN Managua 0:0
    31.01.2026 Real Madriz - Matagalpa 1:1
    24.01.2026 Matagalpa - Rancho Santana 0:2
    Nicaraguan Liga Primera Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esteli1173128:101824
    2Diriangen1163222:101221
    3Jalapa1154215:7819
    4Matagalpa1145219:12717
    5Managua FC1143410:11-115
    6Sport Sebaco1141612:12013
    7UNAN-Managua1133514:20-612
    8Ferretti113357:14-712
    9Rancho Santana1123614:31-179
    10Real Madriz112276:20-148

          Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Semi~finals)
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