Nairobi United vs Mathare United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 83', 0 - 1, Kinyanjui P. ,

Chances of winning


Nairobi United
45.9%
Draw
30.5%
Mathare United
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 28% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 25.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi United's form might have worsened.
  • Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Nairobi United - Mathare United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.72)
    2.96
    (3.25)
    3.85
    (4.8)
    10.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Nairobi United - Mathare United?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nairobi United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Nairobi United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mathare United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mathare United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nairobi United has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nairobi United is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nairobi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nairobi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi United - Mathare United were as follows:
    07.06.2024 Nairobi United - Mathare United 2:3
    15.11.2023 Mathare United - Nairobi United 2:0
    Latest results of Nairobi United
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia26176344:182657
    2Leopards27167436:181855
    3Kakamega Homeboyz271210542:281446
    4Police FC261110523:17643
    5Shabana27127831:30143
    6KCB27117927:27040
    7Nairobi United27109834:27739
    8Muranga27108933:30338
    9Bandari27814521:18338
    10Tusker261141123:26-337
    11Mara Sugar27713725:25034
    12Posta Rangers277101023:32-931
    13Mathare Utd26861222:27-530
    14Kariobangi Sharks275111118:29-1126
    15Ulinzi Stars27671424:31-725
    16APS Bomet275101225:33-825
    17Bidco United274101316:30-1422
    18Sofapaka27371715:36-2116

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