Nairobi United vs Mathare United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 83', 0 - 1, Kinyanjui P. ,

Chances of winning


Nairobi United
45.9%
Draw
30.5%
Mathare United
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 28% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 25.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nairobi United's form might have worsened.
  • Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Nairobi United - Mathare United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.72)
    2.96
    (3.25)
    3.85
    (4.8)
    10.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Nairobi United - Mathare United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nairobi United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Nairobi United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mathare United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mathare United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nairobi United has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nairobi United is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nairobi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nairobi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi United - Mathare United were as follows:
    07.06.2024 Nairobi United - Mathare United 2:3
    15.11.2023 Mathare United - Nairobi United 2:0
    Latest results of Nairobi United
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia25175344:182656
    2Leopards25147433:181549
    3Police FC251010522:17540
    4Shabana25117730:27340
    5Kakamega Homeboyz24109535:26939
    6Muranga25108733:27638
    7Tusker251141023:25-237
    8Bandari25713520:18234
    9KCB2597925:27-234
    10Nairobi United2396828:24433
    11Posta Rangers25710823:29-631
    12Mara Sugar24612623:23030
    13Mathare Utd25861122:24-230
    14Kariobangi Sharks255101018:28-1025
    15Ulinzi Stars25571322:30-822
    16Bidco United254101116:28-1222
    17APS Bomet25491224:33-921
    18Sofapaka25361615:34-1915

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