Result
4:1
14/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
24.8% | Draw
32.4% | AFC Leopards
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Mathare United - AFC Leopards Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↓
(3.83) |
2.78 ↓
(3.01) |
2.11 ↑
(2) |
10.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mathare United - AFC Leopards?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leopards (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leopards is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leopards will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against AFC Leopards?
Mathare United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Leopards won against Mathare United?
AFC Leopards has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - AFC Leopards were as follows:
02.11.2025
AFC Leopards
-
Mathare United
2:0
14.05.2025
AFC Leopards
-
Mathare United
3:1
18.01.2023
AFC Leopards
-
Mathare United
2:1
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
