Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 66', 🟥,
- 78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
31.4% | Draw
33.4% | Nairobi United
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Mathare United - Nairobi United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.74) |
2.7 ↓
(2.76) |
2.56 ↓
(2.74) |
10.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Mathare United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nairobi United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nairobi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mathare United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Nairobi United?
Mathare United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi United won against Mathare United?
Nairobi United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Nairobi United were as follows:
04.12.2025
Nairobi United
-
Mathare United
0:1
07.06.2024
Nairobi United
-
Mathare United
2:3
15.11.2023
Mathare United
-
Nairobi United
2:0
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
