Mathare United vs Shabana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/02/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+8', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mathare United
25.1%
Draw
33.1%
Shabana
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 31% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 30% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Mathare United - Shabana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (3.22)
    2.74
    (2.95)
    2.17
    (2.25)
    10.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shabana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Mathare United has had a series of home games.
    • Shabana could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mathare United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Shabana were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Shabana - Mathare United 0:1
    16.02.2025 Shabana - Mathare United 0:0
    21.12.2024 Mathare United - Shabana 1:0
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Latest results of Shabana
    21.02.2026 Shabana - Tusker 1:0
    14.02.2026 Posta Rangers - Shabana 0:2
    01.02.2026 Shabana - Bandari 1:0
    24.01.2026 APS Bomet - Shabana 3:3
    17.01.2026 Shabana - Sofapaka 1:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia25175344:182656
    2Leopards25147433:181549
    3Police FC251010522:17540
    4Shabana25117730:27340
    5Kakamega Homeboyz24109535:26939
    6Muranga25108733:27638
    7Tusker251141023:25-237
    8Bandari25713520:18234
    9KCB2597925:27-234
    10Nairobi United2396828:24433
    11Posta Rangers25710823:29-631
    12Mara Sugar24612623:23030
    13Mathare Utd25861122:24-230
    14Kariobangi Sharks255101018:28-1025
    15Ulinzi Stars25571322:30-822
    16Bidco United254101116:28-1222
    17APS Bomet25491224:33-921
    18Sofapaka25361615:34-1915

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