Result
0:1
25/02/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
25.1% | Draw
33.1% | Shabana
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Mathare United - Shabana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.61 ↑
(3.22) |
2.74 ↓
(2.95) |
2.17 ↓
(2.25) |
10.3%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shabana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Mathare United has had a series of home games.
- Shabana could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Mathare United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Shabana?
Mathare United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabana won against Mathare United?
Shabana has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Shabana were as follows:
26.10.2025
Shabana
-
Mathare United
0:1
16.02.2025
Shabana
-
Mathare United
0:0
21.12.2024
Mathare United
-
Shabana
1:0
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Shabana
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 29 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
