Marcos Giron vs Matteo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
712
Double Faults
61
1st Serve Percentage
60%77%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (48/63)77% (58/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (20/42)64% (14/22)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
23% (17/75)24% (15/63)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (8/22)52% (22/42)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)29% (2/7)
Winners
2947
Unforced Errors
3637
Net Points Won
55% (6/11)62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
65% (68/105)74% (72/97)
Return Points Won
26% (25/97)35% (37/105)
Total Points Won
46% (93/202)54% (109/202)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)100% (16/16)
Return Games Won
0% (0/16)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Marcos Giron
21.3%
Matteo Berrettini
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 74.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcos Giron's form might have worsened.
  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.47
    (3.38)

    1.21
    (1.33)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Berrettini will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Giron is ranked ATP: 45. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 31.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Berrettini is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Giron won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:
    20.06.2024 Matteo Berrettini - Marcos Giron 1:2
    Latest results of Marcos Giron
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22)1 : 1
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.1 : 2
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)2 : 0
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)2 : 0
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Norrie C. (19)
    2Kopriva V.Jodar R.
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)
    5Tsitsipas S.Ruud C. (12)
    6Cerundolo F. (16)Blockx A.
    7Medvedev D. (7)TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2