Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/444) | 80% (270/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/444) | 80% (270/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (51/87) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Garcia M. E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Garcia M. E. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 69', Gonzalez A. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
- 69', Barcenas Y. 🟨,
- 71', Leyva A. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 82', Rubio B. ↓, Ben Rhouma A. ↑,
- 82', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 89', Dudu ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
- 89', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 90', Schlegel R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hernandez S. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlas
53.1% | Draw
25.1% | Mazatlan
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Atlas - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77
(1.77) |
3.72 ↓
(3.98) |
4.27 ↑
(4.11) |
6.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlas - Mazatlan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Atlas (1.71) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Atlas will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlas will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Atlas (votes: 20 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.
- In recent matches, Atlas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mazatlan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlas is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Ramirez P.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez D.
(Injury)
Lozano J.
(Muscle Injury)
Serrato J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Mazatlan?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlas?
Mazatlan has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Mazatlan were as follows:
19.09.2025
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
1:1
28.03.2025
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
3:2
18.10.2024
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
0:0
09.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
2:0
30.12.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
1:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
