Result
3:2
28/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (348/424) | 80% (291/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (348/424) | 80% (291/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/104) | 64% (70/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.75 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Aguirre E. ⚽, Djurdjevic U. (A),
- 27', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Benedetti N. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 1, Amarilla L. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 2, Djurdjevic U. (Pen),
- 41', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Serrato J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Serrato J. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
- 46', Godinez S. ↓, Adame G. ↑,
- 46', Castro C. ↓, Samir Caetano ↑,
- 53', Garcia M. E. 🟥,
- 59', Dominguez I. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 2, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
- 65', Sierra J. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
- 68', Dominguez I. ↓, Orrantia C. ↑,
- 68', Aguirre E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 79', Marquez J. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
- 88', Benedetti N. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
- 88', Rodriguez S. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 90+6', Moreno Villegas O. F. 🟨,
- 90+8', Duarte A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
36.5% | Draw
30.7% | Atlas
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Mazatlan - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.46) |
3.07 ↓
(3.14) |
2.88 ↓
(2.97) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Atlas will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mazatlan: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Del Prete G.
(Knee Injury)
Hernandez J.
(Red Card)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Meraz R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Lozano B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlas?
Mazatlan has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Mazatlan?
Atlas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Atlas were as follows:
18.10.2024
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
0:0
09.02.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlas
2:0
30.12.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
1:0
20.10.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
1:3
12.01.2023
Atlas
-
Mazatlan
2:1
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Juarez | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Puebla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | UNAM Pumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
