Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        29/06/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Super League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  China | Migu, ZhiBo8 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.45 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 63% | 37% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (396/481) | 73% (212/292) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.45 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.13 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 24 | 9 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 17 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (396/481) | 73% (212/292) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 18% (12/66) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 67% (102/153) | 42% (23/55) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 14% (1/7) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.37 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 26 | 21 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 17 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 41% (7/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 51 | 51 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 13 | 41 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 11 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.95 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.05 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Ademi A. ⚽, Salvador C. (A), 
- 10', 0 - 2, Xadas ⚽, Ademi A. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wang Xianjun ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑, 
- 46', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Cheukoua M. ↑, 
- 46', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Zhong Haoran ↑, 
- 46', Liu Yun ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑, 
- 65', Wang Qiuming ↓, Guo Hao ↑, 
- 65', Ba Dun ↓, Su Yuanjie ↑, 
- 66', Zhong Haoran 🟨, 
- 76', 1 - 2, Cheukoua M. ⚽, Liao Junjian (A), 
- 77', Xadas ↓, Yang Zihao ↑, 
- 80', Jocic B. ↓, Yi Xianlong ↑, 
- 84', Salvador C. 🟨, 
- 84', Salvador C. ↓, Liu J. ↑, 
- 89', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Meizhou Hakka 37%
 | Draw 25.9%
 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 37.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.49 ↑ (2.08)
 | 3.61 ↓ (3.85)
 | 2.55 ↓ (3)
 | 7.1% (7.4%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win 
                    (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.
- Meizhou Hakka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi
(Injury)
Shi Yan
(Injury)
- We predict that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
                    
                    
                        
                            Meizhou Hakka has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Meizhou Hakka?
                    
                    
                        
                             Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
                                                        
                                23.02.2025 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                - 
                                Meizhou Hakka 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.08.2024 
                                Meizhou Hakka 
                                - 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.04.2024 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                - 
                                Meizhou Hakka 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.08.2023 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                - 
                                Meizhou Hakka 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.05.2023 
                                Meizhou Hakka 
                                - 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Meizhou Hakka                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Super League Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 71:44 | 27 | 63 | 
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 58:25 | 33 | 59 | 
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63:34 | 29 | 58 | 
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 51 | 
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 62:44 | 18 | 47 | 
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 44 | 
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 58:49 | 9 | 41 | 
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:51 | -6 | 38 | 
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 | 
| 10 | Dalian Yingbo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 28:42 | -14 | 35 | 
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 33 | 
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 34:57 | -23 | 26 | 
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:56 | -23 | 25 | 
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 21 | 
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:64 | -31 | 20 | 
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ League One