Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Result
1:2
29/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.45
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (396/481)73% (212/292)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.13
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
82% (396/481)73% (212/292)
Long passes
40% (23/57)18% (12/66)
Passes in final third
67% (102/153)42% (23/55)
Crosses
22% (6/27)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.37
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
1017
Tackles
73% (8/11)41% (7/17)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
1341
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.130.95
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Ademi A. , Salvador C. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Xadas , Ademi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wang Xianjun , Huang Jiahui ,
  • 46', Yang Chaosheng , Cheukoua M. ,
  • 46', Chen Xuhuang , Zhong Haoran ,
  • 46', Liu Yun , Wei Xiangxin ,
  • 65', Wang Qiuming , Guo Hao ,
  • 65', Ba Dun , Su Yuanjie ,
  • 66', Zhong Haoran 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Cheukoua M. , Liao Junjian (A),
  • 77', Xadas , Yang Zihao ,
  • 80', Jocic B. , Yi Xianlong ,
  • 84', Salvador C. 🟨,
  • 84', Salvador C. , Liu J. ,
  • 89', Wang Jia'nan , Yang Ruiqi ,

Chances of winning


Meizhou Hakka
37%
Draw
25.9%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 24.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 23.4% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meizhou Hakka's form might have worsened.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.08)
    3.61
    (3.85)
    2.55
    (3)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.
    • Meizhou Hakka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi (Injury) Shi Yan (Injury)
    • We predict that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Meizhou Hakka 2:2
    03.08.2024 Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3:2
    14.04.2024 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Meizhou Hakka 0:0
    26.08.2023 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Meizhou Hakka 3:1
    24.05.2023 Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:1
    Latest results of Meizhou Hakka
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Shenhua18142242:192344
    2Shanghai Port18115241:231838
    3Beijing Guoan18115238:201838
    4Chengdu Rongcheng18114335:152037
    5Shandong Taishan1884636:29728
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1884625:27-228
    7Zhejiang Professional1875635:28726
    8Dalian Yingbo1875619:24-526
    9Yunnan Yukun1874726:28-225
    10Qingdao West Coast1858524:27-323
    11Wuhan Three Towns1855825:34-920
    12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18521122:38-1617
    13Henan Songshan Longmen18441027:33-616
    14Meizhou Hakka18341122:39-1713
    15Qingdao Hainiu18251115:29-1411
    16Changchun Yatai18221415:34-198

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