Result
1:2
29/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (396/481) | 73% (212/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (396/481) | 73% (212/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 18% (12/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (102/153) | 42% (23/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Ademi A. ⚽, Salvador C. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Xadas ⚽, Ademi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wang Xianjun ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
- 46', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Cheukoua M. ↑,
- 46', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Zhong Haoran ↑,
- 46', Liu Yun ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
- 65', Wang Qiuming ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
- 65', Ba Dun ↓, Su Yuanjie ↑,
- 66', Zhong Haoran 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 2, Cheukoua M. ⚽, Liao Junjian (A),
- 77', Xadas ↓, Yang Zihao ↑,
- 80', Jocic B. ↓, Yi Xianlong ↑,
- 84', Salvador C. 🟨,
- 84', Salvador C. ↓, Liu J. ↑,
- 89', Wang Jia'nan ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
Chances of winning
Meizhou Hakka
37% | Draw
25.9% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meizhou Hakka's form might have worsened.Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meizhou Hakka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-5%)
Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.08) |
3.61 ↓
(3.85) |
2.55 ↓
(3) |
7.1%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1.
- Meizhou Hakka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi
(Injury)
Shi Yan
(Injury)
- We predict that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Meizhou Hakka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Meizhou Hakka won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Meizhou Hakka has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Meizhou Hakka?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
23.02.2025
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Meizhou Hakka
2:2
03.08.2024
Meizhou Hakka
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:2
14.04.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Meizhou Hakka
0:0
26.08.2023
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Meizhou Hakka
3:1
24.05.2023
Meizhou Hakka
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:1
Latest results of Meizhou Hakka
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 63:38 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 53:22 | 31 | 55 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 59:31 | 28 | 54 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 57:39 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 57:41 | 16 | 43 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 39 |
| 8 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:38 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 45:44 | 1 | 29 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 30:55 | -25 | 20 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 20 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 25:40 | -15 | 18 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24:43 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
