Adelaide United vs Melbourne City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/11/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 5
  • Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.23
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
71% (181/254)86% (468/545)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.650.49
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
512
Passes
71% (181/254)86% (468/545)
Long passes
27% (17/64)41% (11/27)
Passes in final third
43% (26/61)76% (152/201)
Crosses
43% (3/7)19% (8/42)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.66
Throw-ins
615
Fouls
125
Tackles
60% (6/10)60% (6/10)
Duels won
2935
Clearances
517
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
03
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.492.65
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Alagich E. , Jovanovic L. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Jovanovic L. , Dukuly Y. (A),
  • 36', Pierias D. 🟥,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Kanamori T. ,
  • 45', Kikianis P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Muniz J. , Barnett J. ,
  • 46', Yull J. , Madanha P. ,
  • 64', Jovanovic L. , White R. ,
  • 65', Kutleshi B. , Shillington H. ,
  • 65', Schreiber Z. , Antoniou P. ,
  • 65', Rahmani K. , Mazzeo B. ,
  • 71', Kanamori T. , Baker B. ,
  • 75', Nabbout A. , Memeti M. ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, White R. ,
  • 84', 4 - 1, Barnett J. ,
  • 90', Duzel L. , Ayoubi A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adelaide United
35.2%
Draw
25.1%
Melbourne City
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 25.1% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Adelaide United - Melbourne City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.81)
    3.78
    (3.77)
    2.38
    (2.29)
    5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Melbourne City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Adelaide (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Melbourne City (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.
    • Melbourne City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Behich A. (Hamstring Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Memeti M. (Hamstring Injury) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Rashani E. (Hamstring Injury) Souprayen S. (Hamstring Injury) Wong L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:7. (average 2.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Melbourne City were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Melbourne City - Adelaide United 0:0
    07.02.2025 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 1:0
    25.01.2024 Melbourne City - Adelaide United 1:0
    29.10.2023 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 6:0
    03.03.2023 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 4:2
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)