Result
0:0
26/04/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 28
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports 8 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (414/508) | 78% (313/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (414/508) | 78% (313/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 31% (19/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (128/179) | 71% (57/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Alagich E. 🟨,
- 32', Goodwin A. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
- 39', Trewin K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
- 60', Clough Z. 🟨,
- 61', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 69', Kitto R. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
- 69', Clough Z. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
- 74', Schreiber Z. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 80', Sanchez I. 🟨,
- 85', Mauk S. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
- 86', Alagich E. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
- 86', Cohen Y. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
- 86', Kuen A. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
58% | Draw
21.3% | Adelaide United
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City's performance.Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Melbourne City - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.86) |
4.48 ↑
(3.88) |
4.51 ↑
(3.8) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 50%). Adelaide (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 1.
- Melbourne City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Adelaide is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Melbourne City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Melbourne City is a favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Souprayen S.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Madanha P.
(Hamstring Injury)
O'Neil B.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:36 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne City won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:11 (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne City?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Adelaide United were as follows:
07.02.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
1:0
25.01.2024
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
1:0
29.10.2023
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
6:0
03.03.2023
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
4:2
28.01.2023
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
2:3
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
