Result
3:0
27/02/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 19
- Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (201/290) | 77% (297/388) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (201/290) | 77% (297/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 26% (14/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 58% (63/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 3.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Schreiber Z. 🟨,
- 40', Sakai H. ↓, Cosgrove S. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Rogerson L. ⚽, May G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 0, Randall J. ⚽,
- 66', 3 - 0, May G. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
- 68', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 69', Randall J. ↓, Brook L. ↑,
- 69', Souprayen S. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
- 71', Howieson C. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
- 77', Atkinson N. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 78', Arzani D. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
- 78', Younis M. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
- 87', Rogerson L. ↓, Ferguson B. ↑,
- 87', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Mackay R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auckland FC
43.8% | Draw
28.4% | Melbourne City
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auckland FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Auckland FC - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.93) |
3.33 ↓
(3.4) |
3.41 ↓
(3.63) |
5.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Melbourne City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Melbourne City (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Auckland FC will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Auckland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Auckland: Sail O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Calf Injury)
Rashani E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Melbourne City: Rahmani K.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Auckland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Melbourne City?
Auckland FC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Auckland FC?
Melbourne City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Melbourne City were as follows:
16.01.2026
Melbourne City
-
Auckland FC
2:1
17.01.2025
Auckland FC
-
Melbourne City
3:0
15.12.2024
Melbourne City
-
Auckland FC
2:2
Latest results of Auckland FC
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
