Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.851.38
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
72
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
54
Passes
80% (466/581)71% (270/381)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.851.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.10
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
67
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
4019
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
711
Passes
80% (466/581)71% (270/381)
Long passes
35% (20/57)28% (18/64)
Passes in final third
75% (140/186)57% (62/109)
Crosses
11% (2/18)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.201.13
Throw ins
3729
Fouls
117
Tackles
79% (15/19)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
1432
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
1.101.96
Goals prevented
0.10-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Kuen A. ⚽, Schreiber Z. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Blair N. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
  • 54', Brandtman B. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
  • 54', Paull N. ↓, Donachie J. ↑,
  • 57', Lavale O. 🟨,
  • 62', Schreiber Z. 🟨,
  • 66', Rashani E. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
  • 66', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Nabbout A. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
  • 67', Donnell C. ↓, Mantell J. ↑,
  • 73', Nasso J. ↓, Roux S. ↑,
  • 80', Arzani D. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
  • 80', Schreiber Z. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
  • 90', Rahmani K. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Auglah A. ⚽, James Ngor S. (A),

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
66.3%		Draw
20%		Central Coast Mariners
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 23.1% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 22.8% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.44 ↓
    (1.47)    		 4.75 ↑
    (4)    		 6.87 ↑
    (6.55)    		 5.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Central Coast will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 26.7% – 80.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Central Coast (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Melbourne City is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T. (Knee Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Muscle Injury) Younis M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S. (Injury) Di Pizio M. (Injury) McCalmont A. (Inactive) Paull N. (Inactive) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Theoharous C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 0:0
    05.04.2025 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 1:0
    31.12.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 1:1
    02.04.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 2:1
    21.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 2:1
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    04.04.2026 Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:0 ✺
    22.03.2026 Perth Glory - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺
    17.03.2026 Sydney - Melbourne City 0:1 ✺
    10.03.2026 Buriram United - Melbourne City 1:0 ✺
    03.03.2026 Melbourne City - Buriram United 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    04.04.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory 2:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 4:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 1:1 ✺
    04.03.2026 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 1:3 ✺
    28.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 0:0 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets ✔ 24142849:371244
    2Auckland FC24118540:261441
    3Sydney FC24114931:23837
    4Adelaide United24107741:34737
    5Melbourne Victory24106840:31936
    6Melbourne City2498729:29035
    7Macarthur FC2487932:41-931
    8Wellington Phoenix24861034:43-930
    9Central Coast Mariners2478934:38-429
    10Perth Glory24761130:38-827
    11Brisbane Roar24681024:31-726
    12WS Wanderers24561326:39-1321

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