Result
0:0
15/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 17
- Referee: Allum S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/410) | 78% (325/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/410) | 78% (325/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/67) | 32% (18/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (42/83) | 65% (90/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 70', Pollicina R. ↓, Jancevski A. ↑,
- 70', Furphy H. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
- 71', Keane A. 🟨,
- 76', McKenna L. ↓, Davidson L. ↑,
- 76', Henry B. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
- 86', O'Grady E. 🟨,
- 90', Jackson D. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
32.5% | Draw
26.3% | Melbourne City
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Victory that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↓
(3.29) |
3.48 ↑
(3.42) |
2.23 ↑
(2.02) |
9.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 0.
- Melbourne Victory is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Melbourne City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Melbourne City?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Melbourne Victory?
Melbourne City has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City were as follows:
23.12.2025
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
2:1
01.02.2025
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
08.11.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
2:3
16.03.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
0:0
23.12.2023
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
