Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Women Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory
Result
1:1
01/02/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 14
  • Referee: Williams C. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.97
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1410
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
40
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
64
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
10
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
3522
Touches in the Opposition Box
2915
Passes
79% (318/403)71% (211/299)
Passes in the final third
65% (92/141)48% (46/96)
Crosses
24% (4/17)12% (2/17)
Tackles
75% (12/16)87% (20/23)
Clearances Total
1623
Interceptions
1312

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Lowe R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vlajnic T. , Roestbakken K. ,
  • 46', Davidson L. , Pollicina R. ,
  • 46', Flannery N. , Furphy H. ,
  • 75', McNamara H. , McMahon S. ,
  • 82', Bunge C. 🟨,
  • 84', Apostolakis A. , Harvey K. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Speckmaier M. , Pollicina R. (A),

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
43%
Draw
27.1%
Melbourne Victory
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 25.4% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 25.1% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.03)
    3.39
    (3.66)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    8.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 2:3
    16.03.2024 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 0:0
    23.12.2023 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1:0
    15.04.2023 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 3:4
    13.03.2023 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 2:0
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2