Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (176/270) | 77% (406/527) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (176/270) | 77% (406/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (46/94) | 55% (83/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 29% (9/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Lowe R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Tanner R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Tanner R. ⚽,
- 61', Pickett L. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 61', Blissett C. ↓, Jancevski A. ↑,
- 64', Bunge C. 🟨,
- 69', Corbett C. ↓, Hollman S. ↑,
- 71', Tanner R. 🟨,
- 71', Sakalis S. 🟨,
- 75', McLean C. ↓, Fenton K. ↑,
- 76', Luchtmeijer A. ↓, Tallon-Henniker C. ↑,
- 76', Pollicina R. ↓, Maher G. ↑,
- 84', Ulkekul J. ↓, Valletta C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sydney FC
20.2% | Draw
21.4% | Melbourne Victory
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.53 ↑
(4.5) |
4.28 ↑
(3.94) |
1.57 ↓
(1.62) |
9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0.
- Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Melbourne Victory's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney FC won against Melbourne Victory?
Sydney FC has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Sydney FC?
Melbourne Victory has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
25.01.2026
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney FC
0:0
24.01.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney FC
2:0
28.12.2024
Sydney FC
-
Melbourne Victory
0:1
31.03.2024
Sydney FC
-
Melbourne Victory
0:4
26.01.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney FC
1:1
Latest results of Sydney FC
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | 1 : 2 |
