Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (403/498) | 78% (352/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (403/498) | 78% (352/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (24/78) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (114/159) | 51% (45/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.26 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Behich A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lopane A. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
- 46', Ruhs M. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
- 46', Imai T. ↓, Russell T. ↑,
- 60', Walatee A. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 60', Atkinson N. ↓, Talbot C. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Grimaldi M. (A),
- 71', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
- 71', Tilio M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 73', Behich A. 🟨,
- 73', Garuccio B. 🟨,
- 78', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 82', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 83', Cohen Y. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
- 87', Leckie M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
48.6% | Draw
24.3% | Western United
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Melbourne City - Western United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.75) |
3.87 ↓
(4.03) |
3.46 ↓
(4.15) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Western United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Melbourne City will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 5.
- Melbourne City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Western United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Western United has had a series of home games.
- Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Souprayen S.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Western United?
Melbourne City has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Melbourne City?
Western United has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Western United were as follows:
16.05.2025
Western United
-
Melbourne City
0:3
07.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Western United
2:0
04.11.2024
Western United
-
Melbourne City
0:1
28.04.2024
Melbourne City
-
Western United
1:0
07.01.2024
Western United
-
Melbourne City
1:2
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Western United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
