Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL
Result
90:77
06/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 503
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
1311
Behinds
1211
Kicks
199221
Handballs
125168
Disposals
324389
Frees For
1516
Frees Against
1615
Clearances Completed
3327
Marks
82111
Tackles
4952
Hitouts
3830

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (15 - 12)
  • 01:32, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 02:53, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 06:24, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 07:36, Rivers T. (Behind),
  • 08:20, Rivers T. (G),
  • 14:16, Langdon E. (Behind),
  • 15:35, Rankine I. (G),
  • 17:42, (Behind Rushed),
  • 18:52, Walker T. (G),
  • 20:34, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 23:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:39, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (23 - 31)
  • 01:33, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 01:47, Pickett K. (G),
  • 04:21, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 07:34, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 09:39, Melksham J. (G),
  • 11:50, Pickett K. (G),
  • 14:28, Rankine I. (G),
  • 18:42, Rankine I. (G),
  • 20:26, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 27:02, Walker T. (G),
  • 28:20, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
  • 30:06, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 31:10, (Behind Rushed),
  • 34:00, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (33 - 13)
  • 00:48, Keays B. (G),
  • 06:44, Rankine I. (G),
  • 09:45, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 10:25, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 14:27, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:57, Rankine I. (G),
  • 18:38, Melksham J. (G),
  • 20:34, Taylor Z. (G),
  • 24:00, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 27:46, Melksham J. (G),
  • 31:22, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (19 - 21)
  • 02:12, Melksham J. (G),
  • 04:13, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 06:33, Sparrow T. (G),
  • 10:15, Curtin D. (G),
  • 14:55, Keays B. (G),
  • 18:09, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 21:50, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 22:51, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 27:19, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 29:24, Fritsch B. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
77.9%		Melbourne Demons
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.7% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
    •

    Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.2 ↓
    (1.26)
    		4.11 ↑
    (3.91)    		 7.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-28)
    What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -68.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -69.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -70.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -60.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -61.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -62.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -63.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -64.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -65.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -66.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -67.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +6.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +8.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +9.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +11.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +12.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +13.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +14.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +15.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +16.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -62.5 Points - Melbourne (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -63.5 Points - Melbourne (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -64.5 Points - Melbourne (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -65.5 Points - Melbourne (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -66.5 Points - Melbourne (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -67.5 Points - Melbourne (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -68.5 Points - Melbourne (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -69.5 Points - Melbourne (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -70.5 Points - Melbourne (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -71.5 Points - Melbourne (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -72.5 Points - Melbourne (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -73.5 Points - Melbourne (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -74.5 Points - Melbourne (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -75.5 Points - Melbourne (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -76.5 Points - Melbourne (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Points - Adelaide (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Points - Adelaide (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Points - Adelaide (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Points - Adelaide (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Points - Adelaide (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +6.5 Points - Adelaide (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5 Points - Adelaide (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +8.5 Points - Adelaide (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +9.5 Points - Adelaide (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10.5 Points - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +11.5 Points - Adelaide (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +12.5 Points - Adelaide (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +13.5 Points - Adelaide (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +14.5 Points - Adelaide (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +15.5 Points - Adelaide (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +16.5 Points - Adelaide (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +17.5 Points - Adelaide (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -60.5 Points - Melbourne (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -61.5 Points - Melbourne (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide Crows will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 67 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 39 - 58.2%). Melbourne (votes: 28 - 41.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 99:71.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
    • Adelaide is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Melbourne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Adelaide is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1428:1516. (average 84:89.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 671:729. (average 74.6:81).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    04.04.2024 Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons 63:78
    23.07.2023 Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows 97:93
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    29.06.2025 Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows 54:122 ✺
    13.06.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 47:44 ✺
    06.06.2025 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 68:63
    31.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 41:131 ✺
    24.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles 128:62
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    15.06.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Melbourne Demons 93:68
    09.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 71:72 ✺
    01.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 63:91
    25.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 131:78 ✺
    18.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons 88:99 ✺
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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