Result
3:3
27/12/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 9
- Referee: Malau-Aduli P. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (274/375) | 80% (345/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (274/375) | 80% (345/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/67) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 60% (62/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Trimis P. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Maher G. ↓, Ray T. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
- 55', Pickett L. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
- 65', Pickett L. ↓, Techera S. ↑,
- 65', Lowe R. ↓, Saveska S. ↑,
- 67', Gomez I. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
- 70', White K. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
- 80', Rasmussen A. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
- 80', Trimis P. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
- 80', King ↓, Buchanan K. ↑,
- 88', Quilligan T. ↓, Clough C. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Pollicina R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Sakalis S. ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, O'Grady E. ⚽,
- 90+8', Trimis P. 🟨,
- 90+9', Di Sipio I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
25.9% | Draw
26.7% | Melbourne Victory
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↓
(3.51) |
3.39 ↓
(3.53) |
1.91 ↑
(1.86) |
10.3%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Melbourne Victory (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Melbourne Victory (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Central Coast has had a series of away games.
- Melbourne Victory might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne Victory?
Central Coast Mariners has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Central Coast Mariners?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
15.11.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:0
18.05.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
11.04.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne Victory
0:1
16.02.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Central Coast Mariners
2:0
22.11.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:10 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar W | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:25 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Perth W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
