Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AAMI Park (Melbourne).

A-League Women - Play Offs - Final
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.04	1.39
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
30	15
Shots on target
11	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
72% (311/431)	70% (315/450)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04	1.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.60	0.60
Total shots
30	15
Shots on target
11	4
Shots off target
14	5
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
16	5
Shots outside the Box
14	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
39	15
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
8	18
Passes
72% (311/431)	70% (315/450)
Long passes
30% (22/74)	35% (25/72)
Passes in final third
59% (98/166)	54% (60/111)
Crosses
48% (10/21)	5% (1/22)
Expected assists (xA)
2.78	0.40
Throw-ins
45	45
Fouls
18	8
Tackles
75% (15/20)	65% (15/23)
Duels won
47	62
Clearances
42	38
Interceptions
15	13
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	10
xGOT faced
0.60	1.60
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Gomez I. ⚽,
52', Galic B. 🟨,
63', Jancevski A. 🟨,
66', Lowe R. ↓, Furphy H. ↑,
72', Rowe S. ↓, Hughes B. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Bunge C. ⚽, Murphy A. (A),
86', Nunn B. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', King ↓, Kraszula G. ↑,
109', Gomez I. 🟨,
110', Rasmussen A. ↓, Trimis P. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Jancevski A. (Pen),
1, Fuller T. (Pen),
2, Gielnik E. (Pen),
2, Trimis P. (Pen),
3, Chidiac A. (Pen),
3, Pennock J. (Pen),
4, Furphy H. (Pen),
4, Gomez I. (Pen),
5, Morrison K. (Pen),
5, Galic B. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Melbourne Victory
58%

Draw
21.7%

Central Coast Mariners
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Victory's performance.

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.78)	4.23 ↑ (4.04)	4.52 ↑ (3.84)	9% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
Melbourne Victory is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Central Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Melbourne Victory is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Central Coast Mariners?

Melbourne Victory has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne Victory?

Central Coast Mariners has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:

11.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:1

16.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 2:0

22.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1

14.04.2024 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 0:1

10.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1

Latest results of Melbourne Victory

10.05.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 3:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory 1:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar 2:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Central Coast Mariners

11.05.2025 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 2:2 ✺

28.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Canberra United 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 1:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Melbourne Victory W (2)	Bye
2	Adelaide W (3)	Western United W (6)	1 : 0
3	Melbourne City W (1)	Bye
4	Central Coast Mariners W (4)	Canberra W (5)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Melbourne Victory W (2)	Adelaide W (3)	3 : 1, 3 : 1
2	Melbourne City W (1)	Central Coast Mariners W (4)	0 : 1, 2 : 2

Final

1

Melbourne Victory W (2)

Central Coast Mariners W (4)

1 : 2