Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/12/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Central Coast Stadium (Gosford).

A-League Women - Round 9
Referee: Malau-Aduli P. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.36	1.55
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
6	14
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	2
Passes
73% (274/375)	80% (345/429)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	1.69
Total shots
6	14
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
0	4
Shots inside the Box
4	12
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
10	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
19	12
Passes
73% (274/375)	80% (345/429)
Long passes
28% (19/67)	58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
51% (33/65)	60% (62/104)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	1.50
Throw-ins
35	33
Fouls
12	19
Tackles
65% (17/26)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
62	57
Clearances
18	24
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.69	1.35
Goals prevented
-1.31	-1.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Trimis P. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Maher G. ↓, Ray T. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
55', Pickett L. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
65', Pickett L. ↓, Techera S. ↑,
65', Lowe R. ↓, Saveska S. ↑,
67', Gomez I. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
70', White K. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
80', Rasmussen A. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
80', Trimis P. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
80', King ↓, Buchanan K. ↑,
88', Quilligan T. ↓, Clough C. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Pollicina R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
90+3', 3 - 2, Sakalis S. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, O'Grady E. ⚽,
90+8', Trimis P. 🟨,
90+9', Di Sipio I. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Central Coast Mariners
25.9%

Draw
26.7%

Melbourne Victory
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.5%

48.7%

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.51)	3.39 ↓ (3.53)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	10.3% (10.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Central Coast has had a series of away games.
Melbourne Victory might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne Victory?

Central Coast Mariners has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Central Coast Mariners?

Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory were as follows:

15.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 1:0

18.05.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 1:2

11.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:1

16.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 2:0

22.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1

Latest results of Central Coast Mariners

20.12.2025 Canberra United - Central Coast Mariners 1:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners 1:2 ✺

07.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 4:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners 1:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Victory

23.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 2:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory 1:3 ✺

13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 1:0 ✺

05.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Canberra United 1:3 ✺

30.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory 3:0 ✺

Australian A-League Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Melbourne City W	8	6	1	1	16:7	9	19
2	Canberra W	10	5	3	2	16:9	7	18
3	Central Coast Mariners W	11	5	2	4	18:16	2	17
4	Melbourne Victory W	11	5	1	5	19:15	4	16
5	Perth W	10	5	0	5	12:16	-4	15
6	Brisbane Roar W	8	4	1	3	14:14	0	13
7	Newcastle W	10	4	1	5	12:14	-2	13
8	Wellington Phoenix W	9	3	3	3	16:8	8	12
9	Adelaide W	9	3	2	4	9:11	-2	11
10	Sydney W	10	2	4	4	6:14	-8	10
11	WS Wanderers W	10	1	2	7	8:22	-14	5

Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)