Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 9
- Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
Malaysia | Astro Go |
Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | SPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (402/490) | 70% (240/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (402/490) | 70% (240/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (64/108) | 65% (74/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Davidson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', D'Arrigo L. 🟨,
- 64', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
- 67', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Genreau D. ↑,
- 68', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
- 69', Schreiber Z. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
- 69', Atkinson N. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
- 72', Valadon J. 🟨,
- 74', Velupillay N. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 74', Vergos N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 78', Rashani E. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 81', Kanamori T. ↓, Baker B. ↑,
- 86', Clarismario ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Grimaldi M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City 44.8% | Draw 25.6% | Melbourne Victory 29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.72) |
3.69 ↓ (3.72) |
3.2 ↓ (4.22) |
5.5% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 2.
- Recent performances by Melbourne City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melbourne Victory is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.
- Melbourne City could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Leckie M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lopane A.
(Ankle Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Inactive)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Wong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Lino F.
(Injury)
Piscopo R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Melbourne Victory?
Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Melbourne City?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
08.11.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
0:2
31.05.2025
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
22.02.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
2:2
21.12.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
1:1
26.10.2024
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
1:3
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Adelaide United | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Macarthur FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Perth Glory | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Melbourne City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Central Coast Mariners | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)