Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
1:3
21/02/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 18
  • Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 9
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.291.61
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
47
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
55
Passes
78% (338/433)75% (253/337)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.291.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.20
Total shots
819
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
210
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
510
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1233
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1012
Passes
78% (338/433)75% (253/337)
Long passes
42% (20/48)47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
66% (74/112)69% (98/143)
Crosses
31% (4/13)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.02
Throw ins
2826
Fouls
1210
Tackles
55% (11/20)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5462
Clearances
3627
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
40
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
2.201.30
Goals prevented
-0.800.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Mata J. ⚽,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽, Younis M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', Lopane A. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
  • 59', Memeti M. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
  • 60', Behich A. 🟨,
  • 62', Nduka C. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
  • 62', Jelacic K. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Mata J. ⚽, Grimaldi M. (A),
  • 70', Caputo M. ↓, Kuen A. ↑,
  • 70', Arzani D. ↓, Schreiber Z. ↑,
  • 78', Rahmani K. ↓, Souprayen S. ↑,
  • 81', Velupillay N. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
  • 87', Esposito S. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 3, Clarismario ⚽, Mata J. (A),
  • 90+2', Mata J. ↓, Machar Reec J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
34.8%		Draw
27.8%		Melbourne Victory
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 27.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.4% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
    •

    Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.39)    		 3.39 ↑
    (3.37)    		 2.54 ↓
    (2.74)    		 5.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Melbourne Victory (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T. (Knee Injury) Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Nabbout A. (Calf Injury) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 0:1
    08.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 0:2
    31.05.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1:0
    22.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 2:2
    21.12.2024 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 1:1
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    18.02.2026 Melbourne City - Gangwon 0:0 ✺
    11.02.2026 Ulsan HD - Melbourne City 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City 2:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Macarthur FC - Melbourne City 6:2 ✺
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    14.02.2026 Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar 1:1 ✺
    06.02.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 2:3 ✺
    01.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:0 ✺
    26.01.2026 Melbourne Victory - Sydney 4:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory 2:1 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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