Result
1:0
31/05/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (236/317) | 74% (264/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (236/317) | 74% (264/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 42% (26/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (47/87) | 66% (82/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Cohen Y. ⚽,
- 33', Cohen Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Clarismario ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
- 63', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
- 66', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 73', Rawlins J. 🟨,
- 74', Jackson L. ↓, Inserra J. ↑,
- 74', Fornaroli B. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
- 78', Inserra J. 🟨,
- 79', Leckie M. 🟨,
- 79', Kuen A. ↓, Lopane A. ↑,
- 86', Teague R. 🟨,
- 89', Machach Z. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 89', Arzani D. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 90+6', Tilio M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Cohen Y. ↓, Talbot C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
46.1% | Draw
27.6% | Melbourne Victory
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.2) |
3.43 ↓
(3.55) |
3.59 ↑
(3.13) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melbourne City could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Souprayen S.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Langerak M.
(Foot Injury)
Traore A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Melbourne Victory?
Melbourne City has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Melbourne City?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
22.02.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
2:2
21.12.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
1:1
26.10.2024
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
1:3
05.05.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
2:1
06.04.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
2:1
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
