Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 9
  • Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustralia10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.97
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
82% (402/490)70% (240/342)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.77
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
3126
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
107
Passes
82% (402/490)70% (240/342)
Long passes
46% (26/57)39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
59% (64/108)65% (74/114)
Crosses
26% (6/23)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.93
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
710
Tackles
54% (7/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.771.17
Goals prevented
-0.231.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Davidson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', D'Arrigo L. 🟨,
  • 64', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
  • 67', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Genreau D. ↑,
  • 68', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
  • 69', Schreiber Z. ↓, Bonetig L. ↑,
  • 69', Atkinson N. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
  • 72', Valadon J. 🟨,
  • 74', Velupillay N. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
  • 74', Vergos N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
  • 78', Rashani E. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
  • 81', Kanamori T. ↓, Baker B. ↑,
  • 86', Clarismario ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Grimaldi M. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
44.8%		Draw
25.6%		Melbourne Victory
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.7% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 24.1% 21.2%

Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.12 ↑
(1.72)		 3.69 ↓
(3.72)		 3.2 ↓
(4.22)		 5.5%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 44.1% – 85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Melbourne Victory (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Melbourne City (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Melbourne Victory (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 2.
    • Recent performances by Melbourne City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Melbourne Victory is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.
    • Melbourne City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Nabbout A. (Inactive) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Wong L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury) Lino F. (Injury) Piscopo R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 0:2
    31.05.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1:0
    22.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 2:2
    21.12.2024 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 1:1
    26.10.2024 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1:3
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    10.12.2025 FC Seoul - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City 0:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 0:0 ✺
    25.11.2025 Melbourne City - Johor Darul Takzim 2:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory 0:0 ✺
    28.11.2025 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory 1:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Sydney - Melbourne Victory 3:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 0:2 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets16100637:28930
    2Auckland FC1684423:17628
    3Sydney FC1581622:15725
    4Macarthur FC1767424:23125
    5Melbourne Victory1672723:21223
    6Adelaide United1672726:26023
    7Melbourne City1757519:21-222
    8Brisbane Roar1763817:22-521
    9Perth Glory1662820:22-220
    10Central Coast Mariners1654721:24-319
    11Wellington Phoenix1654726:31-519
    12WS Wanderers1644813:21-816

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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