Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 9
  • Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustralia10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.97
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
82% (402/490)70% (240/342)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.77
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
3126
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
107
Passes
82% (402/490)70% (240/342)
Long passes
46% (26/57)39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
59% (64/108)65% (74/114)
Crosses
26% (6/23)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.93
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
710
Tackles
54% (7/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.771.17
Goals prevented
-0.231.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Davidson J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', D'Arrigo L. 🟨,
  • 64', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
  • 67', D'Arrigo L. , Genreau D. ,
  • 68', Caputo M. , Nabbout A. ,
  • 69', Schreiber Z. , Bonetig L. ,
  • 69', Atkinson N. , Antoniou P. ,
  • 72', Valadon J. 🟨,
  • 74', Velupillay N. , Jelacic K. ,
  • 74', Vergos N. , Reec J. ,
  • 78', Rashani E. , Memeti M. ,
  • 81', Kanamori T. , Baker B. ,
  • 86', Clarismario , Grimaldi M. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Grimaldi M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
44.8%
Draw
25.6%
Melbourne Victory
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.7% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 24.1% 21.2%

Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.12
(1.72)
3.69
(3.72)
3.2
(4.22)
5.5%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 2.
    • Recent performances by Melbourne City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Melbourne Victory is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of away games.
    • Melbourne City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Nabbout A. (Inactive) Nieuwenhuizen J. (Knee Injury) Wong L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury) Lino F. (Injury) Piscopo R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 0:2
    31.05.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1:0
    22.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 2:2
    21.12.2024 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 1:1
    26.10.2024 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1:3
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auckland FC962114:7720
    2Sydney FC960315:7818
    3Adelaide United1050516:13315
    4Brisbane Roar94329:5415
    5Macarthur FC1043312:13-115
    6Melbourne Victory1042412:13-114
    7Perth Glory1041510:13-313
    8Melbourne City1034311:10113
    9Newcastle Jets1040620:22-212
    10Wellington Phoenix1032514:20-611
    11WS Wanderers102358:13-59
    12Central Coast Mariners922510:15-58

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)