Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 16
- Referee: Ghirardello G. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 9 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (253/343) | 74% (215/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (253/343) | 74% (215/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/56) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/93) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Blissett C. 🟨,
- 39', Lowe R. 🟨,
- 41', Prior N. 🟨,
- 45+1', O'Grady E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Sakalis S. 🟨,
- 53', Curtis R. 🟨,
- 63', O'Grady E. ↓, Furphy H. ↑,
- 63', Blissett C. ↓, Jancevski A. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Cicco C. (Own goal),
- 68', Bunge C. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 1, Brown K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Curtis R. ↓, Saveska S. ↑,
- 74', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
- 74', Lowe R. ↓, Pickett L. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Furphy H. ⚽,
- 85', Ayres M. ↓, Copus-Brown L. ↑,
- 85', Hoban S. ↓, Johnson H. M. ↑,
- 90+2', Pollicina R. ↓, Maher G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
59.6% | Draw
21.5% | Newcastle Jets
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory's form might have worsened.Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.38) |
4.28 ↓
(4.68) |
4.87 ↓
(6.05) |
8.8%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 4.
- Melbourne Victory is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Newcastle Jets has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:22. (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 2.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne Victory has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne Victory?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
19.12.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
1:3
21.03.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
4:3
11.01.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
0:2
23.03.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
11.11.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
4:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Women Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | -2 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
