Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CommBank Stadium (Sydney).

A-League - Round 26
Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 9
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.71	1.23
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
4	5
Passes
85% (389/459)	77% (291/376)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.71	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	1.35
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
9	6
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
11	8
Shots outside the box
5	6
Hit the woodwork
2	2
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
24	24
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
7	8
Passes
85% (389/459)	77% (291/376)
Long passes
54% (30/56)	38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
75% (84/112)	62% (69/112)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.80
Throw ins
16	32
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
80% (4/5)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
40	37
Clearances
26	26
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.35	0.95
Goals prevented
-0.65	0.95

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Valadon J. ↑,
65', Grimaldi M. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Clarismario ⚽,
76', Kraev B. ↓, Rose J. ↑,
76', Waraga A. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
76', Gersbach A. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
81', Brillante J. ↓, Lual A. ↑,
82', Clarismario ↓, Mata J. ↑,
90+1', Esposito S. ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
90+1', Velupillay N. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Vergos N. ⚽, Jelacic K. (A),
90+3', Vergos N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Western Sydney Wanderers
26.2%

Draw
24.1%

Melbourne Victory
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.8%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Victory's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)	3.93 ↑ (3.69)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)	5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Melbourne Victory is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 3.
Western Sydney is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Melbourne Victory has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
Melbourne Victory could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Western Sydney: Farrell J. (Inactive) Simmons A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Inserra J. (Inactive) Mata J. (Inactive) Reec J. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Melbourne Victory?

Western Sydney Wanderers has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Western Sydney Wanderers?

Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory were as follows:

10.01.2026 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 0:1

10.05.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 1:2

15.03.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 4:2

04.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2

27.04.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:4

Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers

18.04.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney 0:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United 2:4 ✺

13.03.2026 Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Victory

17.04.2026 Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets 2:2 ✺

11.04.2026 Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory 2:2 ✺

05.04.2026 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 0:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 4:1 ✺

15.03.2026 Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC 4:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Newcastle Jets (1)	Bye
2	Melbourne Victory (4)	Sydney FC (5)	0 : 1
3	Adelaide United (2)	Bye
4	Auckland FC (3)	Melbourne City (6)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Newcastle Jets (1)	Sydney FC (5)
2	Adelaide United (2)	Auckland FC (3)