Result
2:2
17/04/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 25
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 8 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (235/319) | 85% (460/544) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (235/319) | 85% (460/544) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (102/150) | 76% (133/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', Adams E. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Adams E. ⚽, Burgess M. (A),
- 25', Roderick 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Nduka C. ⚽, Rawlins J. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Nduka C. ⚽, Lino F. (A),
- 44', Burgess M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Clough Z. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 65', Jelacic K. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 70', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 81', Valadon J. ↓, D'Arrigo L. ↑,
- 81', Velupillay N. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
- 81', Taylor C. ↓, Nunes A. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Adams E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Rawlins J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
45.3% | Draw
23.5% | Newcastle Jets
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.93) |
4.01 ↓
(4.24) |
3.01 ↓
(3.37) |
5.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Newcastle is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melbourne Victory will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Esposito S.
(Injury)
Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Mata J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Injury)
Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
Shaughnessy J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne Victory?
Newcastle Jets has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
24.10.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
5:2
04.05.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
1:1
08.02.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
03.02.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
29.10.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
5:3
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
