Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
136:120
21/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9695
Field goals made
4945
Field goals %
51.04%47.37%
2-point field goals attempts
6051
2-point field goals made
3630
2-point field goals %
60%58.82%
3-point field goals attempts
3644
3-point field goals made
1315
3-point field goals %
36.11%34.09%
Free throws attempts
3322
Free throws made
2515
Free throws %
75.8%68.2%
Offensive rebounds
179
Defensive rebounds
4027
Total rebounds
5736
Assists
3631
Blocks
58
Turnovers
1713
Steals
813
Personal fouls
2122
Technical fouls
11

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
79.8%
Memphis Grizzlies
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.3% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.
  • Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memphis Grizzlies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memphis Grizzlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.3)

    4.7
    (3.4)
    4.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 236.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Memphis will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Memphis (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -13.5, OT - Miami (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Memphis (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5, OT - Memphis (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -11, OT - Memphis (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Memphis (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 124:112.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Memphis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S. (Knee Injury) Caldwell-Pope K. (Finger Injury) Clarke B. (Calf Injury) Coward C. (Knee Injury) Edey Z. (Ankle Injury) Jerome T. (Calf Injury) Morant J. (Elbow Injury) Pippen Jr S. (Toe Injury)
    • There are questionable in Memphis: Clayton W. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2236:2238. (average 111.8:111.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1151:1175. (average 115.1:117.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 114:146
    17.10.2025 Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies 125:141
    03.04.2025 Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies 108:110
    15.03.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 125:91
    18.10.2024 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 109:114
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    20.02.2026 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 97:128
    09.02.2026 Miami Heat - Utah Jazz 111:115
    08.02.2026 Washington Wizards - Miami Heat 101:132
    06.02.2026 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 98:96
    Latest results of Memphis Grizzlies
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder6045157161:64800.750
    2San Antonio Spurs5842166863:64830.724
    3Houston Rockets5736216540:62210.632
    4Denver Nuggets5836227008:67450.621
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5936237056:67930.610
    6Los Angeles Lakers5734236588:66090.596
    7Phoenix Suns5933266614:65710.559
    8Golden State Warriors5931286834:67160.525
    9Portland Trail Blazers5928316830:69820.475
    10Los Angeles Clippers5727306389:64160.474
    11Memphis Grizzlies5721366578:67320.368
    12Dallas Mavericks5721366521:67060.368
    13Utah Jazz5818406842:73000.310
    14New Orleans Pelicans5917426774:71020.288
    15Sacramento Kings6013476604:72670.217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons5743146693:62430.754
    2Boston Celtics5738196553:61310.667
    3New York Knicks5937226909:65920.627
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6037237167:69050.617
    5Toronto Raptors5934256704:65950.576
    6Philadelphia 76ers5832266761:67240.552
    7Orlando Magic5731266560:65330.544
    8Miami Heat5931287078:69070.525
    9Atlanta Hawks6029317017:70800.483
    10Charlotte Hornets5928316837:66930.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks5726316404:65780.456
    12Chicago Bulls5924356832:71060.407
    13Washington Wizards5716416397:69970.281
    14Brooklyn Nets5715426094:65460.263
    15Indiana Pacers5915446580:70350.254

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