Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
136:120
21/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9695
Field goals made
4945
Field goals %
51.04%47.37%
2-point field goals attempts
6051
2-point field goals made
3630
2-point field goals %
60%58.82%
3-point field goals attempts
3644
3-point field goals made
1315
3-point field goals %
36.11%34.09%
Free throws attempts
3322
Free throws made
2515
Free throws %
75.8%68.2%
Offensive rebounds
179
Defensive rebounds
4027
Total rebounds
5736
Assists
3631
Blocks
58
Turnovers
1713
Steals
813
Personal fouls
2122
Technical fouls
11

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
79.8%
Memphis Grizzlies
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.3% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.
  • Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memphis Grizzlies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memphis Grizzlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.3)

    4.7
    (3.4)
    4.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 236.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Memphis will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Memphis (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -13.5, OT - Miami (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Memphis (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5, OT - Memphis (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -11, OT - Memphis (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Memphis (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 124:112.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Memphis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S. (Knee Injury) Caldwell-Pope K. (Finger Injury) Clarke B. (Calf Injury) Coward C. (Knee Injury) Edey Z. (Ankle Injury) Jerome T. (Calf Injury) Morant J. (Elbow Injury) Pippen Jr S. (Toe Injury)
    • There are questionable in Memphis: Clayton W. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2236:2238. (average 111.8:111.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1151:1175. (average 115.1:117.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 114:146
    17.10.2025 Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies 125:141
    03.04.2025 Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies 108:110
    15.03.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 125:91
    18.10.2024 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 109:114
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    20.02.2026 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 97:128
    09.02.2026 Miami Heat - Utah Jazz 111:115
    08.02.2026 Washington Wizards - Miami Heat 101:132
    06.02.2026 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 98:96
    Latest results of Memphis Grizzlies
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)