Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
136:120
21/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9695
Field goals made
4945
Field goals %
51.04%47.37%
2-point field goals attempts
6051
2-point field goals made
3630
2-point field goals %
60%58.82%
3-point field goals attempts
3644
3-point field goals made
1315
3-point field goals %
36.11%34.09%
Free throws attempts
3322
Free throws made
2515
Free throws %
75.8%68.2%
Offensive rebounds
179
Defensive rebounds
4027
Total rebounds
5736
Assists
3631
Blocks
58
Turnovers
1713
Steals
813
Personal fouls
2122
Technical fouls
11

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
79.8%
Memphis Grizzlies
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.3% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.
  • Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memphis Grizzlies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memphis Grizzlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.3)

    4.7
    (3.4)
    4.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 236.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Memphis will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Memphis (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -13.5, OT - Miami (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Memphis (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -10.5, OT - Memphis (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -11, OT - Memphis (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Memphis (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 124:112.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Memphis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S. (Knee Injury) Caldwell-Pope K. (Finger Injury) Clarke B. (Calf Injury) Coward C. (Knee Injury) Edey Z. (Ankle Injury) Jerome T. (Calf Injury) Morant J. (Elbow Injury) Pippen Jr S. (Toe Injury)
    • There are questionable in Memphis: Clayton W. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2236:2238. (average 111.8:111.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1151:1175. (average 115.1:117.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 114:146
    17.10.2025 Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies 125:141
    03.04.2025 Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies 108:110
    15.03.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 125:91
    18.10.2024 Memphis Grizzlies - Miami Heat 109:114
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    20.02.2026 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 97:128
    09.02.2026 Miami Heat - Utah Jazz 111:115
    08.02.2026 Washington Wizards - Miami Heat 101:132
    06.02.2026 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 98:96
    Latest results of Memphis Grizzlies
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )