Result
136:120
21/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 96 | 95 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 51.04% | 47.37% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 60 | 51 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 60% | 58.82% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 36.11% | 34.09% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 75.8% | 68.2% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 40 | 27 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 57 | 36 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Technical fouls |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Chances of winning
Miami Heat
79.8% | Memphis Grizzlies
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Memphis Grizzlies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Memphis Grizzlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.3) |
|
4.7 ↑
(3.4) |
4.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 236.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Memphis will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Memphis (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -13.5, OT - Miami (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -9.5, OT - Memphis (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -10.5, OT - Memphis (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -11, OT - Memphis (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Memphis (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 124:112.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
- Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Memphis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Miami is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Miami: Rozier T.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S.
(Knee Injury)
Caldwell-Pope K.
(Finger Injury)
Clarke B.
(Calf Injury)
Coward C.
(Knee Injury)
Edey Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Jerome T.
(Calf Injury)
Morant J.
(Elbow Injury)
Pippen Jr S.
(Toe Injury)
- There are questionable in Memphis: Clayton W.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2236:2238. (average 111.8:111.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1151:1175. (average 115.1:117.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Memphis Grizzlies?
Miami Heat has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Memphis Grizzlies won against Miami Heat?
Memphis Grizzlies has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies were as follows:
24.10.2025
Memphis Grizzlies
-
Miami Heat
114:146
17.10.2025
Miami Heat
-
Memphis Grizzlies
125:141
03.04.2025
Miami Heat
-
Memphis Grizzlies
108:110
15.03.2025
Memphis Grizzlies
-
Miami Heat
125:91
18.10.2024
Memphis Grizzlies
-
Miami Heat
109:114
Latest results of Miami Heat
Latest results of Memphis Grizzlies
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder (1) | Phoenix Suns (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Lakers (4) | Houston Rockets (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | San Antonio Spurs (2) | Portland Trail Blazers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Denver Nuggets (3) | Minnesota Timberwolves (6) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Detroit Pistons (1) | Orlando Magic (8) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Cleveland Cavaliers (4) | Toronto Raptors (5) | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Boston Celtics (2) | Philadelphia 76ers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | New York Knicks (3) | Atlanta Hawks (6) | 2 : 2 |
