Meralco Bolts vs San Miguel Beermen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
92:103
28/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Commissioner's Cup

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Meralco Bolts
39.2%
San Miguel Beermen
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Meralco Bolts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meralco Bolts's form might have worsened.
  • San Miguel Beermen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel Beermen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meralco Bolts than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Meralco Bolts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel Beermen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.96)

    1.54
    (1.76)
    6.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 210.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Meralco Bolts (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +4 - Meralco Bolts (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 - Meralco Bolts (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3 - Meralco Bolts (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Meralco Bolts (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Meralco Bolts (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Meralco Bolts (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Meralco Bolts (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, OT - Meralco Bolts (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Meralco Bolts (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Meralco Bolts will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Meralco Bolts (votes: 18 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 103:107.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meralco Bolts won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Meralco Bolts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Meralco Bolts will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Meralco Bolts won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1888:1925. (average 94.4:96.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Meralco Bolts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1001:1087. (average 91:98.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen were as follows:
    19.12.2025 Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen 104:113
    20.06.2025 Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen 97:108
    09.04.2025 Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen 98:110
    18.01.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts 93:100
    16.06.2024 Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen 80:78
    Latest results of Meralco Bolts
    Philippines - Commissioners Cup Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Rain or Shine Elasto Painters9811022:9240.889
    2NLEX Road Warriors972930:8850.778
    3Barangay Ginebra San Miguel972949:8920.778
    4TNT Tropang 5G963944:8950.667
    5Meralco Bolts853840:8110.625
    6Phoenix Fuelmasters954942:9220.556
    7San Miguel Beermen10551036:10600.500
    8Magnolia Hotshots945897:8660.444
    9Converge FiberXers10461017:10190.400
    10Terrafirma Dyip936891:9190.333
    11Titan Ultra Giant Risers927872:9870.222
    12Macau Black Bears10281060:11250.200
    13Blackwater Bossing10281014:11090.200

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