Arenteiro vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
23
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
44
Total shots
84
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
61
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Capitas M. ,
  • 24', 🟨,
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 45+5', 🟨,
  • 45+8', 🟨,
  • 45+10', 0 - 2, Lancho J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arenteiro
36.6%
Draw
28.8%
Mérida AD
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26.8% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 26.7% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Arenteiro - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.38)
    3.13
    (3.47)
    2.64
    (2.72)
    9.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Recent form of Arenteiro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mérida AD's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arenteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Mérida AD were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Mérida AD - Arenteiro 3:1
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    12.04.2026 Mérida AD - Tenerife 1:1
    04.04.2026 Ponferradina - Mérida AD 4:1
    28.03.2026 Mérida AD - Ferrol 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1