Result
0:2
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Capitas M. ⚽,
- 24', 🟨,
- 29', 🟨,
- 33', 🟨,
- 45+5', 🟨,
- 45+8', 🟨,
- 45+10', 0 - 2, Lancho J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', 🟨,
- 59', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arenteiro 36.6% | Draw 28.8% | Mérida AD 34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Arenteiro - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.38) |
3.13 ↓ (3.47) |
2.64 ↓ (2.72) |
9.4% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- Recent form of Arenteiro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mérida AD's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arenteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenteiro won against Mérida AD?
Arenteiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Arenteiro?
Mérida AD has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Mérida AD were as follows:
18.10.2025
Mérida AD
-
Arenteiro
3:1
Latest results of Arenteiro
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife ✔ | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B ✔ | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | Lugo | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 34:37 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 46 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 38 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1