Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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National League North - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Evans K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, Twamley L. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Freeman K. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Ayres J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Ayres J. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Alfreton Town
35.6%

Draw
26.3%

Merthyr Town
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.6%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.1%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfreton Town's performance.

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfreton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alfreton Town - Merthyr Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.27)	3.52 ↓ (3.59)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)	8.2% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alfreton has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alfreton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.

How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Merthyr Town?

Alfreton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Alfreton Town?

Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Merthyr Town were as follows:

22.11.2025 Merthyr Town - Alfreton Town 6:2

Latest results of Alfreton Town

14.02.2026 Fylde - Alfreton Town 3:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Chester - Alfreton Town 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Alfreton Town - Buxton Postponed ✺

31.01.2026 King`s Lynn Town - Alfreton Town 0:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Alfreton Town - Chorley Postponed ✺

Latest results of Merthyr Town

14.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Bedford Town 7:1 ✺

10.02.2026 Kidderminster Harriers - Merthyr Town 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Chorley 2:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Darlington - Merthyr Town 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United 1:4 ✺

English National League North Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	South Shields	34	23	8	3	76:29	47	77
2	AFC Fylde	34	24	3	7	83:37	46	75
3	Merthyr Town	36	20	3	13	80:63	17	63
4	Kidderminster	33	16	11	6	45:35	10	59
5	Darlington	34	16	8	10	65:49	16	56
6	Macclesfield	32	16	7	9	58:47	11	55
7	Radcliffe	35	17	4	14	63:55	8	55
8	Scarborough	36	14	12	10	49:44	5	54
9	AFC Telford	35	14	11	10	68:48	20	53
10	Chester	36	13	11	12	52:57	-5	50
11	Marine	32	14	6	12	43:48	-5	48
12	Spennymoor	33	13	7	13	44:57	-13	46
13	Buxton	34	13	6	15	56:49	7	45
14	Curzon Ashton	35	12	9	14	56:63	-7	45
15	Chorley	34	11	9	14	54:52	2	42
16	Worksop	36	11	8	17	45:62	-17	41
17	Southport	35	9	12	14	47:56	-9	39
18	Bedford	36	10	9	17	55:65	-10	39
19	Kingu2019s Lynn	34	9	11	14	41:48	-7	38
20	Oxford City	35	9	8	18	42:54	-12	35
21	Peterborough Sports	35	9	6	20	41:69	-28	33
22	Alfreton	31	8	8	15	30:56	-26	32
23	Hereford	29	7	8	14	35:50	-15	29
24	Leamington	34	5	7	22	25:60	-35	22

      Promotion ~ National League
      Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation