Alfreton Town vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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National League North - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Evans K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, Twamley L. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Freeman K. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Ayres J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Ayres J. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Alfreton Town
35.6%

Draw
26.3%

Merthyr Town
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.6%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.1%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfreton Town's performance.

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfreton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alfreton Town - Merthyr Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.27)	3.52 ↓ (3.59)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)	8.2% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alfreton has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alfreton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.

How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Merthyr Town?

Alfreton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Alfreton Town?

Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town - Merthyr Town were as follows:

22.11.2025 Merthyr Town - Alfreton Town 6:2

Latest results of Alfreton Town

14.02.2026 Fylde - Alfreton Town 3:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Chester - Alfreton Town 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Alfreton Town - Buxton Postponed ✺

31.01.2026 King`s Lynn Town - Alfreton Town 0:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Alfreton Town - Bedford Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Merthyr Town

14.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Bedford Town 7:1 ✺

10.02.2026 Kidderminster Harriers - Merthyr Town 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Chorley 2:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Darlington - Merthyr Town 3:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United 1:4 ✺

English National League North Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AFC Fylde	39	27	4	8	94:42	52	85
2	South Shields	39	25	9	5	85:36	49	84
3	Kidderminster	37	18	12	7	54:39	15	66
4	Merthyr Town	40	21	3	16	87:73	14	66
5	Darlington	39	19	8	12	71:53	18	65
6	Macclesfield	37	19	7	11	68:55	13	64
7	Scarborough	40	16	14	10	55:47	8	62
8	AFC Telford	40	16	12	12	77:54	23	60
9	Buxton	39	17	6	16	65:53	12	57
10	Chester	40	15	12	13	58:62	-4	57
11	Radcliffe	39	17	5	17	65:63	2	56
12	Marine	37	16	7	14	51:55	-4	55
13	Spennymoor	38	15	9	14	52:63	-11	54
14	Southport	40	13	12	15	55:61	-6	51
15	Chorley	39	13	10	16	60:59	1	49
16	Curzon Ashton	40	12	11	17	59:74	-15	47
17	Worksop	40	13	8	19	52:69	-17	47
18	Kingu2019s Lynn	39	11	13	15	47:53	-6	46
19	Bedford	40	11	10	19	56:70	-14	43
20	Oxford City	39	11	9	19	49:59	-10	42
21	Hereford	35	10	8	17	48:63	-15	38
22	Alfreton	37	9	10	18	36:67	-31	37
23	Peterborough Sports	40	10	7	23	43:75	-32	37
24	Leamington	39	5	8	26	28:70	-42	23

      Promotion ~ National League
      Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation