Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Cox C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 68', 1 - 1, Weledji K. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Allan R. ,

Chances of winning


Scarborough Athletic
48%
Draw
25.8%
Merthyr Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 27% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scarborough Athletic's performance.
  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scarborough Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Scarborough Athletic - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.31)
    3.6
    (3.44)
    3.48
    (2.83)
    8.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Scarborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Merthyr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Scarborough could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Scarborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Scarborough Athletic - Merthyr Town were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic 1:3
    Latest results of Scarborough Athletic
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)