Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
25/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Rees R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Walker S. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Wiles A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
38.5%
Draw
26.7%
Scarborough Athletic
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.5% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 27.1% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.09)
    3.44
    (3.37)
    2.64
    (2.91)
    9.1%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Merthyr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Scarborough is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of Scarborough Athletic
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde4430410104:495594
    2South Shields432710694:405491
    3Kidderminster432212967:481978
    4Macclesfield422371278:601876
    5Scarborough4418151158:50869
    6Chester4419121364:63169
    7Darlington442081676:641268
    8Merthyr Town432141889:791067
    9Buxton432061773:581566
    10AFC Telford4417131484:622264
    11Spennymoor4418101659:68-964
    12Marine421871757:63-661
    13Radcliffe431762073:77-457
    14Southport4315121661:65-457
    15Worksop441592057:72-1554
    16Chorley4414111963:63053
    17Bedford4413121964:75-1151
    18Curzon Ashton4413121964:81-1751
    19Oxford City4313111956:63-750
    20Kingu2019s Lynn4412141855:63-850
    21Hereford421292156:73-1745
    22Alfreton4311122041:75-3445
    23Peterborough Sports ✔ 441082649:86-3738
    24Leamington ✔ 44782938:83-4529

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
    Leamington is Relegated to