Metz vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
11/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.312.44
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
56
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
26
Passes
90% (521/577)78% (220/281)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.312.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.652.54
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
02
Free kicks
166
Passes
90% (521/577)78% (220/281)
Long passes
59% (29/49)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
76% (70/92)63% (38/60)
Crosses
22% (4/18)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.76
Throw ins
1719
Fouls
616
Tackles
69% (11/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5739
Clearances
1614
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
2.540.65
Goals prevented
-1.460.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', Issoufou Y. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Savanier T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Issoufou Y. ,
  • 27', Mendy A. 🟨,
  • 29', Mbaye M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 3, Tchato E. , Pays N. (A),
  • 59', Kouao K. , Colin M. ,
  • 59', Ballo-Toure F. , Stambouli B. ,
  • 59', Traore B. , Asoro J. ,
  • 64', 0 - 4, Pays N. , Issoufou Y. (A),
  • 66', Sane I. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 67', Pays N. , Fayad K. ,
  • 72', Fayad K. 🟨,
  • 74', Issoufou Y. , Thiland Herard R. ,
  • 74', Toure A. , Munongo B. ,
  • 87', Savanier T. , Da Silva L. ,
  • 87', Tchato E. , El Hannach N. ,

Chances of winning


Metz
43.7%
Draw
27.4%
Montpellier
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 25.5% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 25.3% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Metz - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.92)
    3.43
    (3.64)
    3.24
    (3.57)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Metz - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montpellier will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.
    • Recent form of Metz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Montpellier has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Metz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Montpellier were as follows:
    18.02.2024 Montpellier - Metz 3:0
    17.12.2023 Metz - Montpellier 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    04.01.2026 Lorient - Metz 1:1
    20.12.2025 Biesheim - Metz 0:3
    13.12.2025 Metz - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3
    07.12.2025 Auxerre - Metz 3:1
    28.11.2025 Metz - Rennes 0:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    05.01.2026 Montpellier - Dunkerque 1:3
    13.12.2025 Grenoble - Montpellier 1:1
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1BrestBye
    3AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    4SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    5StrasbourgBye
    7ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    8BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    9Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    10OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    11JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    12Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    13AuxerreBye
    16ByeMonaco
    17Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    18ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    19FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    20EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    21IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    22Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    23AvionTorcy0 : 2
    24OCPAMReims0 : 1
    25Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    26IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    27Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    28MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    29CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    30Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    31SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    32GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    33Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    34Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    35AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    36Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    37LorientBye
    39MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    40OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    41PSGBye
    43FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    44Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    45Paris FCBye
    47MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    48MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    49Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    50St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    52ByeNantes
    53NiceBye
    55Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    56QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    57Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    58ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    60ByeMetz
    61AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    62LavaurRodez1 : 3
    63MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    64AgdeMontpellier0 : 2
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    98BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    99Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    100BloisClermont2 : 1
    101MarseilleBye
    103Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    104Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    105CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    106PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    107WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    108BesanconThionville4 : 0
    109Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    110PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    112ByeRennes
    113PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    114OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    116ByeAngers
    117PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    118Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    120ByeToulouse
    121MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    122GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    123Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    124LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    125Le HavreBye
    127Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    128AubyAmiens0 : 3

    1/64-finals
    1BrestBye
    2AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    3StrasbourgBye
    4AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    5Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    6BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    7AuxerreBye
    8ByeMonaco
    9ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    10MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    11IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    12TorcyReims1 : 5
    13Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    14PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    15AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    16SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    17MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    18Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    19LorientBye
    20AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    21PSGBye
    22FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    23Paris FCBye
    24Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    25ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    26ByeNantes
    27NiceBye
    28Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    29BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    30ByeMetz
    31Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    32MontceauMontpellier0 : 2
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    50RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    51MarseilleBye
    52SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    53CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    54FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    55Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    56ByeRennes
    57PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    58ByeAngers
    59Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    60ByeToulouse
    61MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    62ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    63Le HavreBye
    64Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1BrestAvranches1 : 2
    2StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    3OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    4AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    5Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    6IC CroixReims0 : 4
    7Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    8GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    9Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    10LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    11PSGFontenay4 : 0
    12Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    13ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    14NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    15BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    16Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    26MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    27ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    28Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    29Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    30Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    31MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    32Le HavreAmiens0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    2OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    3Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    4Le MansNancy1 : 0
    5Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    6PSGParis FC0 : 1
    7NantesNice1 : 2
    8MetzMontpellier0 : 4
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    14ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    15AngersToulouse1 : 2
    16MontreuilAmiens2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    2ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    3LorientParis FC2 : 0
    4NiceMontpellier3 : 2
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    8ToulouseAmiens1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    2LorientNice0 : 1
    3LyonLens2 : 3
    4MarseilleToulouse2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1StrasbourgNice
    2LensToulouse