Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 12
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/420) | 90% (389/434) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/420) | 90% (389/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (46/75) | 70% (23/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (50/73) | 67% (46/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Mendy A. 🟨,
- 33', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Cho M. ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Abdi A. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
- 52', Bah J. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
- 71', Kevin ↓, Boga J. ↑,
- 75', Sabaly C. 🟨,
- 77', Deminguet J. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 77', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 79', Cho M. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
- 79', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Diallo H. ⚽, Gbamin J. (A),
- 86', Mendy A. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 87', Hein G. 🟨,
- 88', Diallo H. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
- 90+2', Bard M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hein G. ↓, Melieres C. ↑,
- 90+4', Toure A. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Metz
29.7% | Draw
26.2% | Nice
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Metz - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↓
(3.71) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
2.17 ↑
(1.93) |
3.3%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Metz - Nice?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Nice will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 52.5% – 82.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Nice (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 11 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nice could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Metz: Ba O.
(Muscle Injury)
Ballo-Toure F.
(Muscle Injury)
Madjo B.
(International duty)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Mboula U.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Dante
(Knee Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Nice?
Metz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Metz?
Nice has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Nice were as follows:
27.01.2024
Nice
-
Metz
1:0
07.10.2023
Metz
-
Nice
0:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
