Metz vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 12
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.93
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
84% (351/420)90% (389/434)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.25
Total shots
911
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
84% (351/420)90% (389/434)
Long passes
61% (46/75)70% (23/33)
Passes in final third
68% (50/73)67% (46/69)
Crosses
16% (4/25)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.341.26
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
1219
Tackles
59% (10/17)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5545
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.251.06
Goals prevented
0.25-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Mendy A. 🟨,
  • 33', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Cho M. , Vanhoutte C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Abdi A. , Bard M. ,
  • 52', Bah J. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 71', Kevin , Boga J. ,
  • 75', Sabaly C. 🟨,
  • 77', Deminguet J. , Traore B. ,
  • 77', Sabaly C. , Sane I. ,
  • 79', Cho M. , Moffi T. ,
  • 79', Diop S. , Sanson M. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Diallo H. , Gbamin J. (A),
  • 86', Mendy A. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 87', Hein G. 🟨,
  • 88', Diallo H. , Asoro J. ,
  • 90+2', Bard M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hein G. , Melieres C. ,
  • 90+4', Toure A. , Stambouli B. ,

Chances of winning


Metz
29.7%
Draw
26.2%
Nice
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 25.3% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 25% 49.7%

Metz - Nice Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.32
(3.71)
3.7
(3.75)
2.17
(1.93)
3.3%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Metz - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Nice will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 52.5%82.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nice could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Metz: Ba O. (Muscle Injury) Ballo-Toure F. (Muscle Injury) Madjo B. (International duty) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sy P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Nice were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Nice - Metz 1:0
    07.10.2023 Metz - Nice 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    02.11.2025 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    29.10.2025 Metz - Lens 2:0
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3
    Latest results of Nice
    06.11.2025 Nice - Freiburg 1:3
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:0
    29.10.2025 Nice - Lille 2:0
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2
    23.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - Nice 2:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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