Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (434/481) | 88% (463/525) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (434/481) | 88% (463/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 59% (37/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (97/130) | 83% (65/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Moreira D. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', Barco V. 🟨,
- 25', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
- 39', Sane S. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Godo M. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
- 45+2', Tsitaishvili G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Yegbe T. 🟨,
- 64', Hogsberg L. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 71', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 72', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
- 80', Enciso J. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 80', Godo M. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
- 81', Sane I. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
- 90+1', Gbamin J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
- 90+1', Mbaye M. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 90+3', Moreira D. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2zph8ypv
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
67% | Draw
20.1% | Metz
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strasbourg's performance.Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Strasbourg - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.54) |
4.79 ↑
(4.48) |
7.35 ↑
(5.37) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Metz?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Metz will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 57.6% – 90.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5.
- Strasbourg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Metz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Metz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Strasbourg is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Amougou M.
(Ankle Injury)
Cisse A.
(Knee Injury)
Emegha E.
(Leg Injury)
Omobamidele A.
(Calf Injury)
Oyedele M.
(Groin Injury)
Sarr M.
(International duty)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Metz: Diallo H.
(International duty)
Kouao K.
(Yellow Cards)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Sabaly C.
(International duty)
Sy P.
(Concussion)
Toure A.
(Knock)
Traore B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doue G.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Strasbourg will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Metz?
Strasbourg has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Strasbourg?
Metz has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Metz were as follows:
17.08.2025
Metz
-
Strasbourg
0:1
12.05.2024
Strasbourg
-
Metz
2:1
24.09.2023
Metz
-
Strasbourg
0:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
