Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
149:128
27/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanySky Sport Top Event
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9791
Field goals made
5240
Field goals %
53.61%43.96%
2-point field goals attempts
5645
2-point field goals made
3325
2-point field goals %
58.93%55.56%
3-point field goals attempts
4146
3-point field goals made
1915
3-point field goals %
46.34%32.61%
Free throws attempts
3138
Free throws made
2633
Free throws %
83.9%86.8%
Offensive rebounds
711
Defensive rebounds
3934
Total rebounds
4645
Assists
3825
Blocks
14
Turnovers
1013
Steals
95
Personal fouls
2622
Technical fouls
11

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cleveland Cavaliers
65.9%
Miami Heat
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cleveland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleveland Cavaliers's performance.
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleveland Cavaliers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.77)

    2.83
    (2.2)
    3.7%
    (2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 241.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Miami will win (votes: 12 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 38.5%81.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cleveland (votes: 2 - 40%). Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 124:118.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 3.
    • Cleveland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Miami has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cleveland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cleveland: Allen J. (Knee Injury) Porter C. (Groin Injury) Sarr O. (Calf Injury) Strus M. (Rest) Tyson J. (Toe Injury) Wade D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • We predict that Cleveland will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2247:2144. (average 112.4:107.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 959:934. (average 106.6:103.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat were as follows:
    25.03.2026 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 103:120
    12.11.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 116:130
    10.11.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 140:138
    13.07.2025 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 92:72
    28.04.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 83:138
    Latest results of Cleveland Cavaliers
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    25.03.2026 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 103:120
    23.03.2026 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 111:136
    21.03.2026 Houston Rockets - Miami Heat 123:122
    19.03.2026 Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers 126:134
    17.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 136:106
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2