Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
111:136
23/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Top Event
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
95101
Field goals made
3848
Field goals %
40%47.52%
2-point field goals attempts
4358
2-point field goals made
2233
2-point field goals %
51.16%56.9%
3-point field goals attempts
5243
3-point field goals made
1615
3-point field goals %
30.77%34.88%
Free throws attempts
2028
Free throws made
1925
Free throws %
95%89.3%
Offensive rebounds
717
Defensive rebounds
3145
Total rebounds
3862
Assists
2933
Blocks
89
Turnovers
1215
Steals
117
Personal fouls
1918
Technical fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
40.1%
San Antonio Spurs
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 67.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.
  • San Antonio Spurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Antonio Spurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Spurs than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Antonio Spurs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.93)

    1.61
    (1.4)
    3.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 245.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). San Antonio will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Antonio: 52.1%90.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 237.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Antonio Spurs will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 121:125.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Antonio is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
    • Miami is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Antonio is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • San Antonio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Hip Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended) Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • There will not play in San Antonio: Castle S. (Eye injury) Vassell D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Powell N. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that San Antonio will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2205:2096. (average 110.3:104.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1126:1053. (average 112.6:105.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs were as follows:
    30.10.2025 San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat 107:101
    08.10.2025 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 107:112
    05.07.2025 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 82:69
    01.02.2025 San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat 103:105
    19.01.2025 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 128:107
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    21.03.2026 Houston Rockets - Miami Heat 123:122
    19.03.2026 Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers 126:134
    17.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 136:106
    14.03.2026 Miami Heat - Orlando Magic 117:121
    12.03.2026 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 112:105
    Latest results of San Antonio Spurs
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2