Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
121:110
08/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9290
Field goals made
4340
Field goals %
46.74%44.44%
2-point field goals attempts
5953
2-point field goals made
3129
2-point field goals %
52.54%54.72%
3-point field goals attempts
3337
3-point field goals made
1211
3-point field goals %
36.36%29.73%
Free throws attempts
2524
Free throws made
2319
Free throws %
92%79.2%
Offensive rebounds
1214
Defensive rebounds
3626
Total rebounds
4840
Assists
3126
Blocks
511
Turnovers
1112
Steals
94
Personal fouls
2323
Technical fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
47.8%
Detroit Pistons
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Detroit Pistons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.11)

    1.85
    (1.77)
    3.6%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 231.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Detroit (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5, 3Q - Detroit (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 231.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 50%). Detroit (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 115:117.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
    • Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Detroit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Detroit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Miami: Fontecchio S. (Groin Injury) Jovic N. (Lower Back Injury) Powell N. (Groin Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Detroit: Thompson A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • We predict that Miami will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2207:2165. (average 110.4:108.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1092:1105. (average 109.2:110.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat 112:118
    29.11.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 135:138
    17.07.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 88:108
    19.03.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 113:116
    16.12.2024 Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat 125:124
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    05.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 126:110
    03.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 124:98
    28.02.2026 Miami Heat - Houston Rockets 115:105
    26.02.2026 Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat 124:117
    Latest results of Detroit Pistons
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )