Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
121:110
08/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9290
Field goals made
4340
Field goals %
46.74%44.44%
2-point field goals attempts
5953
2-point field goals made
3129
2-point field goals %
52.54%54.72%
3-point field goals attempts
3337
3-point field goals made
1211
3-point field goals %
36.36%29.73%
Free throws attempts
2524
Free throws made
2319
Free throws %
92%79.2%
Offensive rebounds
1214
Defensive rebounds
3626
Total rebounds
4840
Assists
3126
Blocks
511
Turnovers
1112
Steals
94
Personal fouls
2323
Technical fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
47.8%
Detroit Pistons
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Detroit Pistons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.11)

    1.85
    (1.77)
    3.6%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 231.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 21.7%78.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5, 3Q - Detroit (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 231.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Heat will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 50%). Detroit (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 115:117.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
    • Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Detroit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Detroit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Miami: Fontecchio S. (Groin Injury) Jovic N. (Lower Back Injury) Powell N. (Groin Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Detroit: Thompson A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • We predict that Miami will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2207:2165. (average 110.4:108.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1092:1105. (average 109.2:110.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat 112:118
    29.11.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 135:138
    17.07.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 88:108
    19.03.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 113:116
    16.12.2024 Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat 125:124
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    05.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 126:110
    03.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 124:98
    28.02.2026 Miami Heat - Houston Rockets 115:105
    26.02.2026 Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat 124:117
    Latest results of Detroit Pistons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2