Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
112:105
12/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9283
Field goals made
3841
Field goals %
41.3%49.4%
2-point field goals attempts
5157
2-point field goals made
2432
2-point field goals %
47.06%56.14%
3-point field goals attempts
4126
3-point field goals made
149
3-point field goals %
34.15%34.62%
Free throws attempts
2719
Free throws made
2214
Free throws %
81.5%73.7%
Offensive rebounds
153
Defensive rebounds
3833
Total rebounds
5336
Assists
2625
Blocks
22
Turnovers
1214
Steals
410
Personal fouls
1430
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
67.1%
Milwaukee Bucks
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Milwaukee Bucks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Bucks than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.4)

    2.92
    (2.98)
    3.9%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 234.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Milwaukee will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 46.4%99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3, OT - Miami (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Miami (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4, OT - Miami (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Miami (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Miami (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Miami (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Miami (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 229.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Miami Heat will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 12 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 120:114.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Miami is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Milwaukee has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Milwaukee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Miami is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2233:2260. (average 111.7:113).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 892:872. (average 111.5:109).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks were as follows:
    24.02.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat 128:117
    26.11.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 106:103
    06.10.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 93:103
    18.07.2025 Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat 92:93
    05.04.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 115:121
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    10.03.2026 Miami Heat - Washington Wizards 150:129
    08.03.2026 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 121:110
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    05.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 126:110
    03.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 124:98
    Latest results of Milwaukee Bucks
    10.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Phoenix Suns 114:129
    08.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Orlando Magic 91:130
    07.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Utah Jazz 113:99
    04.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks 113:131
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)