Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
128:117
24/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9794
Field goals made
4840
Field goals %
49.48%42.55%
2-point field goals attempts
5846
2-point field goals made
3224
2-point field goals %
55.17%52.17%
3-point field goals attempts
3948
3-point field goals made
1616
3-point field goals %
41.03%33.33%
Free throws attempts
1927
Free throws made
1621
Free throws %
84.2%77.8%
Offensive rebounds
1013
Defensive rebounds
3637
Total rebounds
4650
Assists
2532
Blocks
34
Turnovers
915
Steals
126
Personal fouls
2018
Technical fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milwaukee Bucks
32.3%
Miami Heat
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milwaukee Bucks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Bucks than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milwaukee Bucks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami Heat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.87)

    1.42
    (1.43)
    4%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 227.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Milwaukee (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +5.5, OT - Miami (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5, OT - Miami (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 229.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +6.5, OT - Milwaukee (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +7.5, OT - Milwaukee (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Milwaukee Bucks will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Milwaukee (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Miami (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 111:117.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 3.
    • Recent performances by Milwaukee have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Miami is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Milwaukee has had a series of away games.
    • Miami is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Milwaukee: Antetokounmpo G. (Calf Injury) Prince T. (Neck Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2234:2224. (average 111.7:111.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milwaukee won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1260:1224. (average 114.5:111.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat were as follows:
    26.11.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 106:103
    06.10.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 93:103
    18.07.2025 Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat 92:93
    05.04.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 115:121
    23.02.2025 Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat 120:113
    Latest results of Milwaukee Bucks
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    21.02.2026 Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies 136:120
    20.02.2026 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 97:128
    09.02.2026 Miami Heat - Utah Jazz 111:115
    08.02.2026 Washington Wizards - Miami Heat 101:132
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder6045157161:64800.750
    2San Antonio Spurs5842166863:64830.724
    3Houston Rockets5736216540:62210.632
    4Denver Nuggets5836227008:67450.621
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5936237056:67930.610
    6Los Angeles Lakers5734236588:66090.596
    7Phoenix Suns5933266614:65710.559
    8Golden State Warriors5931286834:67160.525
    9Portland Trail Blazers5928316830:69820.475
    10Los Angeles Clippers5727306389:64160.474
    11Memphis Grizzlies5721366578:67320.368
    12Dallas Mavericks5721366521:67060.368
    13Utah Jazz5818406842:73000.310
    14New Orleans Pelicans5917426774:71020.288
    15Sacramento Kings6013476604:72670.217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons5743146693:62430.754
    2Boston Celtics5738196553:61310.667
    3New York Knicks5937226909:65920.627
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6037237167:69050.617
    5Toronto Raptors5934256704:65950.576
    6Philadelphia 76ers5832266761:67240.552
    7Orlando Magic5731266560:65330.544
    8Miami Heat5931287078:69070.525
    9Atlanta Hawks6029317017:70800.483
    10Charlotte Hornets5928316837:66930.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks5726316404:65780.456
    12Chicago Bulls5924356832:71060.407
    13Washington Wizards5716416397:69970.281
    14Brooklyn Nets5715426094:65460.263
    15Indiana Pacers5915446580:70350.254

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