Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
112:105
12/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9283
Field goals made
3841
Field goals %
41.3%49.4%
2-point field goals attempts
5157
2-point field goals made
2432
2-point field goals %
47.06%56.14%
3-point field goals attempts
4126
3-point field goals made
149
3-point field goals %
34.15%34.62%
Free throws attempts
2719
Free throws made
2214
Free throws %
81.5%73.7%
Offensive rebounds
153
Defensive rebounds
3833
Total rebounds
5336
Assists
2625
Blocks
22
Turnovers
1214
Steals
410
Personal fouls
1430
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
67.1%
Milwaukee Bucks
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Milwaukee Bucks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Bucks than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.4)

    2.92
    (2.98)
    3.9%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 234.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Milwaukee will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 46.4%99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -3, OT - Miami (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Miami (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4, OT - Miami (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Miami (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Miami (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Miami (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Miami (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 229.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Heat will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 12 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 120:114.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Miami is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Milwaukee has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Milwaukee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Miami is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2233:2260. (average 111.7:113).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 892:872. (average 111.5:109).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks were as follows:
    24.02.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat 128:117
    26.11.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 106:103
    06.10.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 93:103
    18.07.2025 Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat 92:93
    05.04.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 115:121
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    10.03.2026 Miami Heat - Washington Wizards 150:129
    08.03.2026 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 121:110
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    05.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 126:110
    03.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 124:98
    Latest results of Milwaukee Bucks
    10.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Phoenix Suns 114:129
    08.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Orlando Magic 91:130
    07.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Utah Jazz 113:99
    04.03.2026 Milwaukee Bucks - Atlanta Hawks 113:131
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2