Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
102:111
25/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
10093
Field goals made
3739
Field goals %
37%41.94%
2-point field goals attempts
6557
2-point field goals made
3030
2-point field goals %
46.15%52.63%
3-point field goals attempts
3536
3-point field goals made
79
3-point field goals %
20%25%
Free throws attempts
2629
Free throws made
2124
Free throws %
80.8%82.8%
Offensive rebounds
2118
Defensive rebounds
3541
Total rebounds
5659
Assists
1321
Blocks
72
Turnovers
1112
Steals
66
Personal fouls
2421
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Phoenix Suns
62%
Miami Heat
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Suns than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Suns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.65)

    2.54
    (2.24)
    3.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 226.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Miami will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Phoenix: 34.3%74.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Miami (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5, OT - Miami (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 223.5, OT - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Miami (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 116:111.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Phoenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Phoenix could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended) Ware K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2149:2173. (average 107.5:108.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 950:977. (average 105.6:108.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 127:121
    07.12.2024 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 121:111
    06.11.2024 Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat 115:112
    29.01.2024 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 105:118
    05.01.2024 Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat 113:97
    Latest results of Phoenix Suns
    23.01.2026 Atlanta Hawks - Phoenix Suns 110:103
    19.01.2026 Brooklyn Nets - Phoenix Suns 117:126
    17.01.2026 New York Knicks - Phoenix Suns 99:106
    15.01.2026 Detroit Pistons - Phoenix Suns 108:105
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    24.01.2026 Utah Jazz - Miami Heat 116:147
    20.01.2026 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 117:130
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )