Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
117:130
20/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8798
Field goals made
4447
Field goals %
50.57%47.96%
2-point field goals attempts
5756
2-point field goals made
3326
2-point field goals %
57.89%46.43%
3-point field goals attempts
3042
3-point field goals made
1121
3-point field goals %
36.67%50%
Free throws attempts
2124
Free throws made
1815
Free throws %
85.7%62.5%
Offensive rebounds
812
Defensive rebounds
4134
Total rebounds
4946
Assists
2733
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1610
Steals
66
Personal fouls
2013
Technical fouls
20

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sacramento Kings
39.3%
Miami Heat
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Kings's form might have worsened.
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miami Heat's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.12)

    1.58
    (1.72)
    4.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 238.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sacramento will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Miami will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 35.2%92%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 1 - 50%). Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +2.5, OT - Sacramento (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • H/A, 1st Half - Miami (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 3 - 60%). Miami (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 117:121.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 3.
    • Sacramento is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sacramento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sacramento has had a series of home games.
    • Miami is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sacramento: Ellis K. (Knee Injury) Murray K. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Knee Injury) Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Sacramento will win today's game, with odds of 2.37.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2123:2123. (average 106.2:106.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1134:1114. (average 103.1:101.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Miami Heat - Sacramento Kings 111:127
    06.01.2025 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 123:118
    04.11.2024 Miami Heat - Sacramento Kings 110:111
    07.07.2024 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 86:102
    26.02.2024 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 110:121
    Latest results of Sacramento Kings
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    15.01.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 114:119
    13.01.2026 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 127:121
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2