Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
121:95
07/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9991
Field goals made
4933
Field goals %
49.49%36.26%
2-point field goals attempts
7147
2-point field goals made
3721
2-point field goals %
52.11%44.68%
3-point field goals attempts
2844
3-point field goals made
1212
3-point field goals %
42.86%27.27%
Free throws attempts
1619
Free throws made
1117
Free throws %
68.8%89.5%
Offensive rebounds
1510
Defensive rebounds
4134
Total rebounds
5644
Assists
3426
Blocks
53
Turnovers
1215
Steals
93
Personal fouls
1915
Technical fouls
01

Chances of winning


Toronto Raptors
53.3%
Miami Heat
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Raptors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.76)

    2.08
    (2.12)
    3.6%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 242.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Miami will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 122:120.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Hepburn C. (Knee Injury) Quickley I. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Powell N. (Back Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2121:2139. (average 106.1:107).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 979:939. (average 108.8:104.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat were as follows:
    23.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 91:112
    15.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 96:106
    21.02.2025 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 111:120
    12.12.2024 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 114:104
    01.12.2024 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 119:116
    Latest results of Toronto Raptors
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    04.04.2026 Miami Heat - Washington Wizards 152:136
    01.04.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 129:147
    30.03.2026 Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers 119:109
    29.03.2026 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 135:118
    27.03.2026 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 149:128
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )