Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
91:112
23/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
8286
Field Goals Made
3341
Field Goals %
40.24%47.67%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5248
2-Point Field Goals Made
2527
2-Point Field Goals %
48.08%56.25%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3038
3-Point Field Goals Made
814
3-Point Field Goals %
26.67%36.84%
Free Throws Attempted
2018
Free Throws Made
1716
Free Throws %
85%88.9%
Offensive Rebounds
1015
Defensive Rebounds
3035
Total Rebounds
4050
Assists
1829
Blocks
15
Turnovers
1817
Steals
1212
Personal Fouls
1819
Technical Fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
66%
Toronto Raptors
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Toronto Raptors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Raptors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.6)

    2.83
    (2.54)
    4.1%
    (1.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 227.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +5.5, OT - Toronto (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 228.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Raptors will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 117:111.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
    • Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
    • Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Jovic N. (Elbow Injury) Larsson P. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Barrett R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2164:2117. (average 108.2:105.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1225:1138. (average 111.4:103.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors were as follows:
    15.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 96:106
    21.02.2025 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 111:120
    12.12.2024 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 114:104
    01.12.2024 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 119:116
    29.11.2024 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 121:111
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    21.12.2025 New York Knicks - Miami Heat 132:125
    19.12.2025 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 129:116
    18.12.2025 Brooklyn Nets - Miami Heat 95:106
    15.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 96:106
    09.12.2025 Orlando Magic - Miami Heat 117:108
    Latest results of Toronto Raptors
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder6045157161:64800.750
    2San Antonio Spurs5842166863:64830.724
    3Houston Rockets5736216540:62210.632
    4Denver Nuggets5937227111:68290.627
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5936237056:67930.610
    6Los Angeles Lakers5734236588:66090.596
    7Phoenix Suns5933266614:65710.559
    8Golden State Warriors5931286834:67160.525
    9Portland Trail Blazers5928316830:69820.475
    10Los Angeles Clippers5727306389:64160.474
    11Memphis Grizzlies5721366578:67320.368
    12Dallas Mavericks5721366521:67060.368
    13Utah Jazz5818406842:73000.310
    14New Orleans Pelicans5917426774:71020.288
    15Sacramento Kings6013476604:72670.217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons5743146693:62430.754
    2Boston Celtics5838206637:62340.655
    3New York Knicks5937226909:65920.627
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6037237167:69050.617
    5Toronto Raptors5934256704:65950.576
    6Philadelphia 76ers5832266761:67240.552
    7Orlando Magic5731266560:65330.544
    8Miami Heat5931287078:69070.525
    9Atlanta Hawks6029317017:70800.483
    10Charlotte Hornets5928316837:66930.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks5726316404:65780.456
    12Chicago Bulls5924356832:71060.407
    13Washington Wizards5716416397:69970.281
    14Brooklyn Nets5715426094:65460.263
    15Indiana Pacers5915446580:70350.254

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