Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
91:112
23/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
8286
Field Goals Made
3341
Field Goals %
40.24%47.67%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5248
2-Point Field Goals Made
2527
2-Point Field Goals %
48.08%56.25%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3038
3-Point Field Goals Made
814
3-Point Field Goals %
26.67%36.84%
Free Throws Attempted
2018
Free Throws Made
1716
Free Throws %
85%88.9%
Offensive Rebounds
1015
Defensive Rebounds
3035
Total Rebounds
4050
Assists
1829
Blocks
15
Turnovers
1817
Steals
1212
Personal Fouls
1819
Technical Fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
66%
Toronto Raptors
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Toronto Raptors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Raptors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.6)

    2.83
    (2.54)
    4.1%
    (1.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 227.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +5.5, OT - Toronto (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 228.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Raptors will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 117:111.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
    • Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
    • Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Jovic N. (Elbow Injury) Larsson P. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Barrett R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2164:2117. (average 108.2:105.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1225:1138. (average 111.4:103.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors were as follows:
    15.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 96:106
    21.02.2025 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 111:120
    12.12.2024 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 114:104
    01.12.2024 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 119:116
    29.11.2024 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 121:111
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    21.12.2025 New York Knicks - Miami Heat 132:125
    19.12.2025 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 129:116
    18.12.2025 Brooklyn Nets - Miami Heat 95:106
    15.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 96:106
    09.12.2025 Orlando Magic - Miami Heat 117:108
    Latest results of Toronto Raptors
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7055158294:75240.786
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6944258029:79310.638
    4Minnesota Timberwolves7043278318:80460.614
    5Houston Rockets6841277741:74780.603
    6Denver Nuggets7042288449:81540.600
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6934357824:77860.493
    9Portland Trail Blazers7034368066:82090.486
    10Golden State Warriors6933367936:78990.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6824447869:80660.353
    12New Orleans Pelicans7024468103:83690.343
    13Dallas Mavericks7023477928:82920.329
    14Utah Jazz6920498085:86400.290
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6946237894:73800.667
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6839297752:76050.574
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6938318147:80460.551
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    12Chicago Bulls6928417996:83000.406
    13Brooklyn Nets6917527339:79810.246
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers7015557791:84170.214

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)