Result
1:2
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/400) | 81% (333/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (322/400) | 81% (333/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (53/96) | 56% (47/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Mensah M. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Vazquez C. (A),
- 45+1', Melano L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 1, Pasher T. ⚽, McCartney D. (A),
- 53', Vazquez C. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
- 63', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
- 63', Melano L. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
- 67', McCartney D. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
- 70', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 2, Damus R. ⚽,
- 77', Cardona N. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
- 82', Pasher T. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
- 82', Damus R. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 85', Suarez S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Van Oekel M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miami
33.6% | Draw
26.3% | Birmingham Legion
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham Legion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Miami - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.42) |
3.5 ↑
(3.33) |
2.3 ↓
(2.72) |
8.4%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Birmingham Legion?
Miami has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Miami?
Birmingham Legion has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
22.09.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Miami
1:0
20.04.2024
Miami
-
Birmingham Legion
0:1
24.09.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Miami
0:2
03.05.2023
Miami
-
Birmingham Legion
3:1
03.09.2022
Miami
-
Birmingham Legion
1:1
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
