Birmingham Legion vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
19/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.452.41
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
85% (420/492)76% (240/317)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.452.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.701.90
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
3317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
85% (420/492)76% (240/317)
Long passes
50% (14/28)36% (25/69)
Passes in final third
78% (116/149)62% (43/69)
Crosses
26% (6/23)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.98
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1216
Tackles
71% (15/21)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5247
Clearances
1023
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.901.70
Goals prevented
-1.10-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Gavilanes A. (A),
  • 14', Knutson D. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Paterson AJ , Vassell P. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 2, Ricketts J. , Blanco S. (A),
  • 23', Campisi N. 🟥,
  • 25', Gavilanes A. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 38', 1 - 3, Zarate T. ,
  • 45+5', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Laszo E. , Travis J. ,
  • 61', McCartney D. , Martinez E. ,
  • 61', Vassell P. , Pasher T. ,
  • 63', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 3, Damus R. , Daley A. (A),
  • 67', Blanco S. , Diaz G. ,
  • 67', Zarate T. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 69', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
48.9%
Draw
25.8%
Miami
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 24.8% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 23.2% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.91)
    3.63
    (3.75)
    3.69
    (3.53)
    7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
    • Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Miami is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Birmingham might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Miami were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    22.09.2024 Birmingham Legion - Miami 1:0
    20.04.2024 Miami - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    24.09.2023 Birmingham Legion - Miami 0:2
    03.05.2023 Miami - Birmingham Legion 3:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Latest results of Miami
    11.10.2025 Louisville City - Miami 1:0
    26.09.2025 North Carolina - Miami 1:0
    19.09.2025 Miami - Rhode Island 0:1
    13.09.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Miami 0:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)