Miami vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Miami - Birmingham Legion
Result
1:2
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.69
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
81% (322/400)81% (333/411)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.68
Total shots
189
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
81% (322/400)81% (333/411)
Long passes
41% (23/56)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
55% (53/96)56% (47/84)
Crosses
50% (11/22)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.18
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1614
Tackles
87% (13/15)88% (15/17)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.681.06
Goals prevented
-1.320.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Mensah M. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Vazquez C. (A),
  • 45+1', Melano L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Pasher T. ⚽, McCartney D. (A),
  • 53', Vazquez C. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
  • 63', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
  • 63', Melano L. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
  • 67', McCartney D. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
  • 68', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
  • 70', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Damus R. ⚽,
  • 77', Cardona N. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
  • 82', Pasher T. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
  • 82', Damus R. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
  • 85', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Van Oekel M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
33.6%		Draw
26.3%		Birmingham Legion
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 27.7% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.2% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham Legion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Miami - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.74 ↑
    (2.42)    		 3.5 ↑
    (3.33)    		 2.3 ↓
    (2.72)    		 8.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Birmingham Legion - Miami 1:0
    20.04.2024 Miami - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    24.09.2023 Birmingham Legion - Miami 0:2
    03.05.2023 Miami - Birmingham Legion 3:1
    03.09.2022 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    Latest results of Miami
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    18.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Detroit City 1:1
    14.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 0:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 2:2
    27.04.2025 Birmingham Legion - Chattanooga Red Wolves 3:0
    19.04.2025 Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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