Result
2:3
19/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/492) | 76% (240/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/492) | 76% (240/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (116/149) | 62% (43/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.10 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 9', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Gavilanes A. (A),
- 14', Knutson D. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 1, Paterson AJ ⚽, Vassell P. (A),
- 22', 1 - 2, Ricketts J. ⚽, Blanco S. (A),
- 23', Campisi N. 🟥,
- 25', Gavilanes A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 3, Zarate T. ⚽,
- 45+5', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Laszo E. ↓, Travis J. ↑,
- 61', McCartney D. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 61', Vassell P. ↓, Pasher T. ↑,
- 63', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 3, Damus R. ⚽, Daley A. (A),
- 67', Blanco S. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 67', Zarate T. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
- 69', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Birmingham Legion
48.9% | Draw
25.8% | Miami
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Birmingham Legion - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91
(1.91) |
3.63 ↓
(3.75) |
3.69 ↑
(3.53) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
- Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Miami is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Birmingham might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Miami?
Birmingham Legion has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Birmingham Legion?
Miami has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Miami were as follows:
24.05.2025
Miami
-
Birmingham Legion
1:2
22.09.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Miami
1:0
20.04.2024
Miami
-
Birmingham Legion
0:1
24.09.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Miami
0:2
03.05.2023
Miami
-
Birmingham Legion
3:1
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
