Miami vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Miami - Birmingham Legion
Result
1:2
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.69
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
81% (322/400)81% (333/411)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.68
Total shots
189
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
81% (322/400)81% (333/411)
Long passes
41% (23/56)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
55% (53/96)56% (47/84)
Crosses
50% (11/22)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.18
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1614
Tackles
87% (13/15)88% (15/17)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.681.06
Goals prevented
-1.320.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Mensah M. , McCartney D. ,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. , Vazquez C. (A),
  • 45+1', Melano L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Pasher T. , McCartney D. (A),
  • 53', Vazquez C. , Gavilanes A. ,
  • 63', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Veron D. ,
  • 63', Melano L. , Lawrence M. ,
  • 67', McCartney D. , Rufe J. ,
  • 68', Hernandez-Foster K. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 70', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Damus R. ,
  • 77', Cardona N. , Celeste F. ,
  • 82', Pasher T. , McIllhatton S. ,
  • 82', Damus R. , Preston T. ,
  • 85', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Van Oekel M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
33.6%
Draw
26.3%
Birmingham Legion
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 27.7% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.2% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham Legion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miami - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.42)
    3.5
    (3.33)
    2.3
    (2.72)
    8.4%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Birmingham Legion - Miami 1:0
    20.04.2024 Miami - Birmingham Legion 0:1
    24.09.2023 Birmingham Legion - Miami 0:2
    03.05.2023 Miami - Birmingham Legion 3:1
    03.09.2022 Miami - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    Latest results of Miami
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )