Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (203/274) | 84% (379/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (203/274) | 84% (379/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 55% (31/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 62% (66/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Melano L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hamid B. ↓, Martell R. ↑,
- 52', Hafferty J. 🟨,
- 59', Veron D. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
- 60', Ajago F. 🟨,
- 63', Mitrano A. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
- 72', Zengue X. ↓, Olney C. ↑,
- 72', Midence A. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
- 73', Burks K. ↓, Wu D. ↑,
- 75', Blanco S. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
- 75', Melano L. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
- 85', Vazquez C. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Burke C. ⚽, Sargeant K. (A),
- 90+6', Celeste F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miami 38.7% | Draw 26.6% | Lexington 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Miami - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.25) |
3.45 ↑ (3.26) |
2.64 ↓ (3) |
8.9% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lexington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Lexington?
Miami has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Miami?
Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Lexington were as follows:
Latest results of Lexington
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | Colorado Springs | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | El Paso | Phoenix Rising | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | New Mexico | San Antonio | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | Orange County SC | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | Hartford Athletic | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Louisville City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | North Carolina | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Charleston | Rhode Island | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | New Mexico | Orange County SC | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | Detroit | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | North Carolina | Rhode Island | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | FC Tulsa | New Mexico | |
| 2 | Pittsburgh | Rhode Island | |
Final