Miami vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL).

USL Championship
Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.77
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
74% (203/274)	84% (379/451)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.84	1.16
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
18	25
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
74% (203/274)	84% (379/451)
Long passes
39% (26/67)	55% (31/56)
Passes in final third
60% (41/68)	62% (66/107)
Crosses
33% (2/6)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.59
Throw-ins
18	22
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
73% (19/26)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
67	54
Clearances
42	14
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.16	0.84
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Melano L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hamid B. ↓, Martell R. ↑,
52', Hafferty J. 🟨,
59', Veron D. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
60', Ajago F. 🟨,
63', Mitrano A. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
72', Zengue X. ↓, Olney C. ↑,
72', Midence A. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
73', Burks K. ↓, Wu D. ↑,
75', Blanco S. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
75', Melano L. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
85', Vazquez C. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Burke C. ⚽, Sargeant K. (A),
90+6', Celeste F. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Miami
38.7%

Draw
26.6%

Lexington
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Miami - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)	3.45 ↑ (3.26)	2.64 ↓ (3)	8.9% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lexington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Lexington?

Miami has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Miami?

Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Lexington were as follows:

Latest results of Miami

05.07.2025 Miami - Tulsa 2:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Detroit City - Miami 2:0 ✺

18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1 ✺

20.06.2025 Lexington - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Lexington - New Mexico United 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Charlotte Independence - Lexington 3:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina ✔	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Rhode Island	27	9	7	11	23:27	-4	34
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic ✔	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico ✔	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	27	6	7	14	20:46	-26	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )