Miami vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Miami - Lexington
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.77
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
74% (203/274)84% (379/451)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.16
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1825
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
74% (203/274)84% (379/451)
Long passes
39% (26/67)55% (31/56)
Passes in final third
60% (41/68)62% (66/107)
Crosses
33% (2/6)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.59
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
1317
Tackles
73% (19/26)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6754
Clearances
4214
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.160.84
Goals prevented
0.16-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. , Melano L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Hamid B. , Martell R. ,
  • 52', Hafferty J. 🟨,
  • 59', Veron D. , Cardona N. ,
  • 60', Ajago F. 🟨,
  • 63', Mitrano A. , Celeste F. ,
  • 72', Zengue X. , Olney C. ,
  • 72', Midence A. , Burke C. ,
  • 73', Burks K. , Wu D. ,
  • 75', Blanco S. , Bent B. ,
  • 75', Melano L. , Lawrence M. ,
  • 85', Vazquez C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Burke C. , Sargeant K. (A),
  • 90+6', Celeste F. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
38.7%
Draw
26.6%
Lexington
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 28% 31%

Miami - Lexington Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.38
(2.25)
3.45
(3.26)
2.64
(3)
8.9%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
  • Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Lexington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Latest results of Miami
05.07.2025 Miami - Tulsa 2:2
21.06.2025 Detroit City - Miami 2:0
18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0
14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1
07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1
Latest results of Lexington
Draw
Play Offs

1/8-finals
1FC TulsaColorado Springs1 : 0
2El PasoPhoenix Rising0 : 1
3New MexicoSan Antonio2 : 0
4Sacramento RepublicOrange County SC0 : 1
5PittsburghHartford Athletic1 : 0
6Louisville CityDetroit0 : 1
7North CarolinaLoudoun1 : 0
8CharlestonRhode Island0 : 1

Quarter-finals
1FC TulsaPhoenix Rising1 : 0
2New MexicoOrange County SC2 : 1
3PittsburghDetroit1 : 0
4North CarolinaRhode Island0 : 2

Semi-finals
1FC TulsaNew Mexico
2PittsburghRhode Island

Final
1TBD #1TBD #2